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XRP价格预测:当前XRP超卖程度超过2020年崩盘时期

2026-09-18 03:18:06
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The XRP momentum indicator hit an extreme low of 13 years. Can the long-term technical structure maintain key support?

XRP has recently generated extremely extreme momentum readings in its trading history, while its price remains anchored in a long-term technical structure that has gone through multiple crypto market cycles. Analyst Cryptollica pointed out that XRP's two-week Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to its lowest level in 13 years, below readings during the 2018 bear market, the March 2020 epidemic crash, and the 2022 crypto market downturn.

After experiencing a sharp correction earlier this week, XRP is currently trading at around $1.30. This unique combination of historically weak momentum and long-term support raises a key question: Is XRP approaching seller exhaustion or is it preparing for another downturn?

XRP RSI hits extreme 13-year lows

Cryptollica's two-week chart shows XRP's RSI is close to 33.5, the lowest reading in the token's 13-year history covered by the analysis. The reason why this signal attracts more attention lies in the price structure of XRP. Despite the sell-off, XRP remained near the lower edge of a long-term rising channel that has provided support for the asset over the past few market cycles. Prices have recently fallen from about $1.49 to intraday lows around $1.27 before recovering to around $1.30.

It should be noted that extreme RSI readings do not guarantee that a bottom has been formed. As prices continue to fall, momentum indicators may remain low, so confirmation of price charts is crucial.

Can XRP hold on to the $1.29 mark?

The current focus of competition is on the US$1.29 -1.30 range. Another technical analysis pointed to the 20-week exponential moving average (EMA) near $1.29 as an important position. If the weekly close effectively falls below that level, XRP may face a deeper decline, moving downward towards the psychological barrier of $1.00. Other technical levels show resistance around $1.34 -1.36, with $1.38 -1.40 being a stronger recovery area.

This puts XRP at an extraordinary key technology point. If $1.29 is held and momentum begins to regain, the record-low two-week RSI could ultimately be seen as evidence of seller exhaustion. However, a decisive break will weaken the logic of long-term support and shift market attention to a lower position.

Therefore, the current situation is not in a hurry to declare XRP bottoming out, but rather to see whether historic weak momentum can coexist with the still-intact multi-cycle structure.

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