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Samson Mow questioned Zcash's gains despite ZEC's 1,077% gain in the past 12 months

2026-10-05 21:31:14
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萨姆森·莫质疑Zcash涨势,ZEC在12个月内飙升1,077%

Zcash(ZEC)今年经历了显著的价格上涨。在过去12个月中,其涨幅高达1,077%,并在近期触及约1,600美元的高点后回调至1,300美元。数字资产基础设施公司JAN3的首席执行官、知名比特币支持者萨姆森·莫(Samson Mow)对Zcash在当前市场环境下能否维持这一快速上涨势头表示怀疑。

比特币最大主义者对Zcash基本面的批评

莫指出,Zcash在抛物线式增长后估值超过220亿美元,但缺乏必要的投机兴趣来维持其在顶级加密货币中的地位。他强调了比特币最大主义者长期以来对ZEC提出的多项担忧。批评者包括Zcash历史上的开发者税、高昂的资金管理费用(如Grayscale收取的2.5%),以及中心化的治理结构。此外,他们还提及了Zcash主要开发实体Electric Coin Company之前的人员流动情况。

莫将这些批评置于他对比特币的看涨预测背景下。依托JAN3内部的OMEGA60模型以及幂律等算法,他预计比特币最早可能在2028年至2033年间达到100万美元。他认为,主权国家的采用可能会使BTC比模型预测更快地实现这一里程碑。

Based on this prospect, Mo and other maximalists believe that diverting liquidity to altcoins such as Zcash is a less strategic allocation, especially compared to continued investment in Bitcoin. In the eyes of maximalists, the flow of liquidity into altcoins is often seen as a missed opportunity for Bitcoin, especially if the $1 million target is expected to be reached over the next decade.

Noun explanation: JAN3 is a digital infrastructure company led by Samson Mo. It is known for supporting bitcoin adoption at the national level and providing relevant technology solutions to governments and institutions.

The Zcash community believes the rapid rise is justified

Contrary to such skepticism, Zcash supporters attribute the recent rise to major upgrades and infrastructure improvements. It is worth noting that developers launched the NU7 upgrade on the Zcash testnet in early October, aiming to triple the speed of block generation. These developments were cited as evidence that ZEC's market gains are based on concrete progress, not just speculation.

Another support for Zcash momentum comes from the new liquidity pool established on THORChain and the huge amount of US$306 million flowing into the Grayscale ZEC Spot ETF. However, the Grayscale Fund also recorded its first significant outflow this week, withdrawing $93 million.

Zcash is currently at a critical juncture, as optimism generated by technology upgrades meets increasing regulatory scrutiny. The next few weeks may determine whether the ZEC can remain in the $1,280 to $1,330 range, or whether the recent correction deepens, thereby verifying the concerns of Bitcoin maximalists.

Indicators Latest values 12-month ZEC increase 1,077% Recent peak prices US$1,600 Latest correction price US$1,300 Grayscale ETF Inflows US$306 million First Weekly Outflow US$93 million

Developers expect the NU7 upgrade to triple the speed of block generation on the Zcash test network, further boosting confidence in the token's underlying improvements during its 12-month rise.

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