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Following
XRP The overall crypto market fell today, and XRP prices fell slightly.
The broader crypto market fell today. XRP prices fell by about 2%, and as of press time, the trading price was close to US$1.47. Analyst CasiTrades, who we regularly follow on CaptainAltcoin, has just updated her XRP outlook; her latest chart shows the token is rapidly approaching a tipping point where greater volatility may no longer be avoided.
Her core point is simple: XRP is still trapped below the main macro resistance level of $1.65, but the consolidation pattern is getting tighter.
XRP continues to compress below US$1.65
CasiTrades's chart shows XRP is below US$1.65 near the 0.618 Fibonacci resistance level, a level that has repeatedly resisted price increases. Since the last test, XRP has formed a smaller consolidation pattern, and the structure is gradually reaching its peak. In other words, the price room is running out.
The chart shows that XRP is being squeezed between short-term trend lines near the current US$1.47 to US$1.50 region.
This compression usually triggers greater volatility after one of the parties finally concedes.
Final shock to US$1.70 is still possible
CasiTrades believes it is still possible for XRP prices to move upwards for the last time, with a target of around $1.70. This will complete the current wave structure and provide traders with the opportunity to test the same resistance area again. But she is paying close attention to the RSI indicator. If the price reaches another high near $1.70, but the RSI forms another lower high, this will create a bearish divergence and support the current view that the first push wave (Wave 1) is coming to an end. This will then open the door for a larger Wave 2 pullback.
$1.27 and $1.10 are the main support levels
It is here that her views become more cautious. CasiTrades is preparing for a possible radical pullback once the current structure is completed. Her main second correction wave support levels include:
- US$1.27: 0.618 retracement level
- US$1.10: deeper 0.854 retracement level
She also pointed out that XRP has a habit of failing to complete the final fifth wave. This means the price does not necessarily need to reach $1.70 first. XRP may fall directly from the current consolidation zone and directly enter a larger correction market.
What about falling to $0.90?
CasiTrades also paints a more pessimistic scenario. A move towards approximately $0.90 would reset the current Elliott Wave count and extend the timeline for new trends she has been tracking. But for her, the key point is not necessarily to avoid every pullback. The bigger condition is that XRP should avoid hitting completely new macro lows. As long as the overall structure remains solid, she still sees deep retracements as a potential buying area.
XRP Price Forecast: Under what circumstances can it clearly turn bullish?
There is also a bullish alternative. If XRP finally breaks through the resistance zone of $1.65 to $1.70 with strong momentum and pushes towards about $1.80, the structure will change. This would give XRP room for a pullback and could shift $1.65 from resistance to support. CasiTrades sees this as a major strong signal. This suggests that buyers are actually absorbing the supply there.
At today's $1.47 price point, XRP is almost right between these two possibilities. Markets are falling, momentum has cooled, and the technical structure is approaching its peak. XRP has avoided making decisions for weeks. CasiTrades's chart suggests that it may not be able to delay this much longer.
