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XRP XRP Technical Analysis: Analysts pointed out that the 100-month moving average is supported firmly, and the target price is looking at US$36.77.
XRP, a digital asset owned by Ripple Labs, has recently attracted market attention again. This change stems from the technical analysis released by well-known cryptocurrency analyst "Dark Defender". After a long period of legal pressure and price consolidation, the price structure of XRP has undergone a significant shift, with analysts pointing to strong support on the main moving average.
Key technical levels and historical support levels
The analyst, who often shares technical insights on social media, focuses his latest analysis on the 100-month exponential moving average (EMA). He described it as an "insurmountable line," emphasizing the level's repeated success as a dynamic support level in the XRP's multi-year legal dispute with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Throughout the lengthy SEC litigation period, XRP never closed below the 100 EMA on monthly charts. Multiple price tests have shown that the asset has rebounded strongly, further consolidating this level's status as an important area for long-term buyers. Even after the case ends in 2025, EMA still plays a strong supporting role. After reaching a record high in July 2025, XRP experienced significant fluctuations and eventually retreated to near the 100 EMA. Prices then rebounded quickly, rising by more than 50% in just 65 hours. By August, XRP closed above the 100 and 50 EMA, continuing its historical pattern of defending these trend lines.
The technical review emphasized: "The XRP is above the Ichimoku Cloud Chart, the 100 EMA is strongly defended, and the August K-line closed above the 50 EMA. For the first time, these three conditions appeared at the same time. XRP is ready."
Three major technical conditions resonate
According to Dark Defender's analysis, there are currently three key technical checkpoints that are conducive to XRP viewing multiple scenarios:
- Running above the Ichimoku Cloud Map: Cryptocurrencies trade on the Ichimoku Cloud Map within the monthly time frame, which is a signal that trend follows traders pay close attention to it.
- 100 EMA Support: The 100 EMA has repeatedly served as an unspoiled area of support that has triggered rallies in the past, such as the 500% surge witnessed at the end of 2024.
- 50 EMA breakthrough: XRP closed above the 50 EMA in August, marking a renewed strengthening of buying pressure from long-term investors.
For the first time in this cycle, the above three conditions were all met, creating a potential layout for a potential continued upward trend.
Noun explanation: Ichimoku Cloud, a technical indicator that combines moving averages and price behavior, is used to outline the support, resistance and trend direction in trading charts. Traders use a "cloud map" to identify bullish or bearish market conditions.
Fibonacci price targets and resistance levels
Dark Defender's monthly chart includes a Fibonacci extended structure that plots multiple price targets above the current trading range. These expansion levels include:
- 61.80% extension bits: $1.3798
- 161.80% extension bits: $1.8815
- 261.80% extension bits: $4.1043
- 361.80% extension bits: $18.2275
- 423.60% extension: $36.7676
This suggests a broad potential future upside area. XRP's current value is close to 61.80%. With the further development of kinetic energy, these goals mark a broad potential upside. According to analysts 'charts, the next important resistance level appears near the approximately $1.38 area.
XRP Current Status and Outlook
Currently, XRP is trading at close to $1.36, hovering near the first Fibonacci target. Despite the recent slowdown in gains, the asset continues to remain above key monthly moving averages and resistance levels.
Dark Defender emphasized that the combination of strong support at the 100 EMA, a position above the Ichimoku cloud chart, and a monthly close above the 50 EMA signal a shift in the technical structure. He believes that these factors together suggest that XRP may be on the verge of significant price changes.
Analysis pointed out: "XRP has successfully held the key 100-month EMA and is currently running above all major moving averages. Multiple bullish signals resonate for the first time."
