On the eve of the Federal Reserve's decision, oil prices outperform Bitcoin and gold

Oil prices rise sharply, Bitcoin moves sideways: Asset divergence before the Federal Reserve's decision

Oil prices rose significantly this weekend, while Bitcoin prices remained stable. This divergence between crude oil, bitcoin and gold has attracted market attention, especially on the eve of the Federal Reserve's upcoming decision on Wednesday.

The ranking statement that "crude oil outperforms Bitcoin and gold" has not been independently verified, but relevant oil price fluctuations and policy calendars are well documented. According to unconfirmed sources, crude oil outperformed Bitcoin and gold on the eve of the meeting. However, this statement of relative performance cannot be independently confirmed: the original comparison lacked clear time frames, specified gold trading instruments names, and Bitcoin returns calculated over the same time window. The following is based only on facts supported by available evidence.

Points to pay attention to:

• The ranking of "crude oil outperforms Bitcoin and gold" is only a one-sided report and has not yet been verified; please treat it with caution as a single source of claims.
• Key Events: The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled to be held from September 15 to 16, 2026, and the final decision will be announced on Wednesday, September 16.

The truth behind the data: The actual performance of crude oil, Bitcoin and gold

According to CNBC, as of 6:27 pm EST on September 13, 2026, U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil (WTI) futures prices rose 2.8% to US$102.87 per barrel. The same report showed that Brent crude rose 3.1% to US$107.87 a barrel, but the report did not provide a separate observation time point for Brent crude.

The rise in oil prices stems from supply disruptions. According to reports from the same media, Saudi Arabia closed its east-west oil pipeline with a daily transportation capacity of 7 million barrels due to damage due to drone strikes, and the duration of the shutdown was not disclosed.

In contrast, the price of Bitcoin was reported at US$77,516 in the snapshot on September 14, 2026, up 0.41% in 24 hours, and its market value was close to US$1.56 trillion. It should be noted that this data is only a snapshot and is not synchronized with the above-mentioned CNBC crude oil quotation, so its performance relative to crude oil or gold cannot be established based on this.

Bitcoin spot price snapshot (September 14, 2026)

Price: $77,516 USD

Note: This data comes from the UTC time snapshot of September 14, 2026 provided by CoinGecko. The response data does not provide a specific price timestamp. This snapshot is out of sync with reported crude oil quotes and cannot demonstrate performance relative to crude oil or gold. Linked public pages display real-time data and may differ.

It must be pointed out that crude oil led gains does not necessarily mean a decline in Bitcoin or gold. Relative excess return and absolute loss are two different concepts, and there is currently a lack of gold price or return data to complete a complete comparison. In addition, Bitcoin's price trend has stabilized recently against the background of easing implied volatility.

Why Wednesday's Fed decision is crucial to Bitcoin

The Federal Reserve calendar has set September 15 to 16, 2026 as the date of the FOMC meeting, with a "Summary of Economic Forecasts" attached. Among them, September 16 is Wednesday, which is the day indicated by the news headlines.

Previous policy settings have been recorded. At its July 29 meeting, the FOMC voted 9 - 3 to maintain the federal funds target rate range between 3.5% and 3.75%. Among them, Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari and Lorie Logan all prefer a 25 basis point rate hike.

This statement is directly related to the current oil price story. The committee said inflation remained above its 2% target, in part reflecting supply shocks affecting multiple sectors, including energy, which are the focus of current attention after the pipeline was closed. Interest rate expectations, yields, and U.S. dollar exchange rates can all affect Bitcoin and gold prices, but predetermined decisions do not guarantee a reaction, nor does it prove that the Fed caused the current spread.

Real Macro CEO Jeff Currie pointed out in an interview with CNBC on September 10 that the recent rebound in oil prices does not feel as short-lived as in the past (Note: the full interview transcript has not been made public).

Points for observation after the Federal Reserve's announcement

Wednesday should focus on the decision itself and any accompanying guidelines, without preassuming its content. Newly released economic forecasts could reshape interest rate expectations that affect the pricing of bitcoin and gold.

In order to more clearly interpret cross-asset performance, subsequent trends should be compared using the same trading instruments within the same timestamp window, which current data does not provide for. As of September 14, the Fear Greed Index read 57, in the "greedy" range, although it measures daily market sentiment rather than response to this particular event. Bitcoin's own market structure, including recent ETF fund flows and its volatility characteristics relative to stocks, will determine how this currency asset absorbs the impact of FOMC policies.

Disclaimer : This article is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. There are significant risks in the cryptocurrency and digital asset markets. Be sure to conduct independent research before making any decisions.