Cardano的ADA价格可能即将迎来大幅上涨！

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Cardano的ADA价格可能即将迎来大幅上涨！

2026-09-17 15:12:46

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Cardano's ADA price is approaching an important technical turning point

After months of decline, the price of Cardano (ADA) is approaching an important technical turning point. The token is currently trading at approximately US$0.1956 and is sandwiched by two convergent trend lines on the weekly chart, which means that large fluctuations may occur once the consolidation ends.

Cryptocurrency analyst The Boss believes that ADA prices are at a critical moment and potential gains may open the door to breaking through higher resistance levels. The emergence of this technology form has been accompanied by two very different developments in Cardano: on the one hand, the Cardano Foundation announced its participation in Mastercard's crypto partner program; on the other hand, Bitquery's research raises questions about online trading activities and long-term pledge economics.

ADA prices are squeezed between two major trend lines

In its latest analysis, The Boss points out that the structure on the Cardano weekly chart is tightening. The purple downtrend line connects multiple lower highs since March and has repeatedly prevented the ADA from building a sustained recovery. At the same time, the black uptrend line starts near the June low and connects a series of higher lows, indicating buyers are entering the market at progressively higher prices after the ADA rallied from the $0.15 region.

The two lines are currently converging around the current price of $0.1956, forming a structure similar to a symmetrical triangle, making the ADA's space between upward support and downward resistance increasingly shrinking. However, the chart has not yet confirmed a bullish breakthrough. The latest weekly K-line is red and the ADA is still below the downward resistance line. Analysts believe that a decisive weekly breakthrough must be achieved above this resistance line to establish a more convincing bullish reversal pattern.

If the bulls break through, the Cardano price target may look towards US$0.22 and US$0.31.

The Boss's chart identifies several important upside levels. The first major resistance level is at $0.2242, indicated by a yellow horizontal line. The region has previously served as an important price barrier, and if the ADA breaks through its downtrend line, this will be an initial target. Judging from the current price of about $0.1956, reaching $0.2242 would represent an increase of about 15%.

Above this, the next major resistance appears at US$0.3136. A move to this level requires stronger buying pressure and will represent an increase of about 60% from current prices. The chart also identifies higher resistance at $0.3825 and $0.4488, although these are more forward targets rather than near-term expectations.

看跌情景同样重要。如果ADA跌破上升趋势线而非向上突破下降阻力线，看涨形态将减弱。第一个主要水平支撑位位于0.1503美元附近，接近买家此前建立底部的区域。跌破该区域可能会暴露出下一个支撑位0.1064美元。目前，周线图呈现的是潜在的突破机会，而非已确认的反弹。

Cardano加入Mastercard加密合作伙伴计划

除了图表分析外，Cardano在采用方面也迎来了一项潜在的重要发展。Cardano基金会宣布加入Mastercard的加密合作伙伴计划，参与其中的区块链轨道。此次合作旨在探索跨境支付、企业对企业结算以及稳定币互操作性等领域。更广泛的目标是将Cardano的公共区块链基础设施与成熟的金融支付系统连接起来。

对于Cardano而言，参与此举可以创造展示其网络如何支持现实世界金融应用的机会。然而，加入该计划不应被误解为Mastercard将ADA整合到其支付网络中或直接承诺通过Cardano处理交易。商业影响将取决于合作最终是否能产生可行的产品、有意义的交易量以及持续的网络采用。

Bitquery数据引发对Cardano网络活动的疑问

并非Cardano最近的所有发展都是积极的。根据Bitquery的分析，在截至2026年9月1日的73个时代中，交易费用仅覆盖了质押奖励的0.668%。研究还报告称，每日交易数量较2022年的水平下降了约72%，而参与质押的流通ADA比例也有所下降。

这些数据指向了一个重要的经济挑战。Cardano的质押奖励目前很大程度上依赖于从其剩余储备中分配ADA，而不是通过网络活动产生的交易费用。这种安排是Cardano货币设计的一部分，但储备发行量会随时间递减。要使交易费用取代这些奖励的有意义部分，网络需要实质性的经济活动增加或影响其奖励结构的其它变化。报告的交易量下降也引发了关于Cardano能多快将技术发展和机构合作伙伴关系转化为实际使用量的疑问。

尽管如此，仅凭交易数量并不能捕捉区块链采用的所有方面。交易的复杂性、转移的价值以及应用层面的活动也同样重要。

Cardano价格展望：大规模上涨真的即将到来吗？

技术面很直接：ADA正接近两条重要周线趋势线汇聚的点。确认的向上突破下降阻力位可能使0.2242美元成为焦点，如果买压持续，0.3136美元将成为更积极的目标。但目前的情况并非纯粹看涨。跌破上升趋势线将破坏复苏结构，并增加0.1503美元支撑位的重要性。

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