Nebius (NBIS) shares gain momentum after positive analyst coverage and price adjustments

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关键亮点

收入激增轨迹提振市场信心
战略资本筹集与价格调整
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Nebius (NBIS) 的股票在周三盘前交易中上涨约 2%。William Blair 对该股启动覆盖，给予“跑赢大盘”（Outperform）评级，并指出 Nebius 的定位明显区别于典型的“新云”（neocloud）竞争对手。这一乐观立场紧随 BNP Paribas（巴黎银行）在 9 月底将其目标价上调至 399 美元之后。BNP Paribas 预测，Nebius 到 2027 年底的年度经常性收入可能接近 220 亿美元。该公司计划于 10 月 1 日起对某些 Nvidia GPU 产品实施涨价。

Nebius Group NV A 类股在周三盘前活动中上涨近 2%。这一上涨势头紧随 William Blair 对这家 AI 云基础设施公司启动研究覆盖并给予“跑赢大盘”评级之后。

在其分析中，Jason Ader 强调了 Nebius 与其他 AI 基础设施提供商的区别。他着重指出了该公司庞大的基础设施足迹、先进的软件栈、既定的客户群以及获得廉价融资的有利条件。Ader 将 Nebius 描述为远超标准“新云”玩家的实体。他进一步表示，当前的市场定价未能反映公司的未来盈利轨迹。

收入激增轨迹提振信心

BNP Paribas predicts that Nebius 'annual recurring revenue could reach approximately US$22 billion by the end of 2027. Analysts expect Wall Street's expectations to be significantly revised upward when the official 2027 guidance is released.

The company's second-quarter revenue was US$582.3 million, a significant increase of 454% year-on-year. Adjusted EBITDA turned from a deficit of $21 million to a profit of $236.2 million. At the same time, adjusted net loss shrank 64% from a year earlier to $33.2 million. Management described the second quarter as the strongest business performance in the company's history. Four major AI cloud agreements were reached during this period, with the total contract value of each agreement averaging more than $1 billion.

Nebius 'five-year cooperation agreement with Meta Platforms has a potential total value of US$27 billion. In July, the company disclosed additional committed revenue of more than $40 billion from investment-grade customers, including Microsoft and Meta.

Strategic capital raising and price adjustment

To support rapid expansion, Nebius completed a total of US$5.75 billion convertible note issuance in August. At the same time, the company announced plans to develop a 10 billion AI factory in Finland. Starting October 1, Nebius will implement price adjustments for its multiple Nvidia GPU configurations through its cloud platform. Market observers interpret this pricing power as evidence that customer demand continues to exceed available computing power.

Earlier this month, Palantir appointed Nebius as its main sovereign AI infrastructure partner. This collaboration gives eligible Palantir customers easier access to Nebius 'computing resources and reasoning tools.

However, not all market participants are optimistic. Well-known investor Michael Burry has converted his short position in Nebius into a put option contract that will expire before the summer of 2027 as a protection against a potential AI sector correction.

Despite this contrarian bet, the stock maintained an upward trajectory. Nebius was trading well above its 52-week low of $73.52, but still below its 52-week high of $299.86. The Wall Street Journal data shows that Nebius shares have a consensus rating of overallocation. The analyst community issued 14 buy recommendations, 1 overallocation, 7 hold ratings, 1 underallocation and 1 sell rating.

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