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Wall Street promotes blockchain development, and these cryptocurrency tokens attract attention

2026-10-09 20:14:02
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报告核心论点

Citrini Research 是一家以其引人注目的市场预测而闻名的宏观经济公司,于 2026 年 10 月 8 日发布了题为《突破壁垒》(Breaking the Wall)的 79 页报告。其核心论点是:两种力量正在汇聚——即代币化(Tokenization),将传统金融资产转化为在区块链上运行的代币;以及代理式人工智能(Agentic AI),指能够自主行动和进行交易的软件智能体。

Citrini 所描绘的世界远远超越了典型的加密货币投机范畴,涵盖了代币化国债、股票和期权、可编程债务、借贷、支付、收益协议,以及几年前尚不存在的金融应用。

宏观背景

这一趋势的背景至关重要。根据 Dune Analytics 的数据,2026 年代币化现实世界资产(RWA)的总供应量已超过 340 亿美元,随着活跃持有者数量突破百万大关,代币化股票的增长幅度超过 2,000%。

与此同时,花旗研究院(Citi Institute)发布的 2026 年 6 月《代币化 2030》报告预测,在全球基础情景下,全球代币化资产市场将从目前的约 170 亿美元增长至 2030 年的 5.5 万亿美元;在牛市情景下,这一数字甚至可能达到 8.2 万亿美元。

哪些代币将受益?

Citrini 的报告认为,加密货币下一章中的主要资金流向可能是“基础设施”(plumbing),而非头部的资产项目。其重点推荐的标的包括 $AAVE (Aave)、$UNI (Uniswap)、$ETHFI (ether.fi)、$PENDLE (Pendle) 和 $ONDO (Ondo)。

报告特别关注提供代币化资产、借贷、交易及区块链基础设施的项目。Citrini 认为最大的机会在于产生费用的平台和基础设施提供商,并特别强调用于代币化资产交易、借贷和衍生品的基础设施轨道。

值得注意的是,该公司警告称,$BTC (Bitcoin) 和 $ETH (Ethereum) 可能无法从这一趋势中获得最大的上行空间。Citrini Research 的新论点并非简单的“买入比特币”。该公司认为,加密货币下一阶段的核心价值流向的是底层基础设施,而非头部资产。

与代理式人工智能的连接

报告还将代币化主题与代理式人工智能联系起来。它将 AI 智能体日益普及的趋势,与跨链流通的代币化美国股票的流动联系起来,归功于面向消费者的 AI 智能体的激增推动了这些工具的主流接受度,并使在不同平台间转移代币化资产变得更加容易。

华尔街的基础设施也在朝同一方向移动

Wall Street's own infrastructure is also transforming in this direction. The Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC) received regulatory approval at the end of 2025 to provide tokenization services for assets under its custody, and officially launched commercial operations in October 2026, covering stocks, ETFs and U.S. Treasury bonds.

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