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ETH Fundstrat联合创始人Tom Lee：以太坊有望在2026年底前突破5000美元
尽管市场对于以太坊（ETH）价格的上涨趋势能否持续仍存有争议，但Fundstrat联合创始人兼BitMine董事会主席Tom Lee对这一全球第二大加密货币发表了值得关注的观点。Lee认为，以太坊有望在2026年底之前触及历史新高，并突破5000美元大关。
机构青睐与长期潜力
Lee在采访中表示，以太坊在过去五年中一直在一个较宽的价格区间内进行盘整，但他声称，与过去相比，以太坊在未来一段时间内的机会已经变得强大得多。他指出，金融机构开始评估区块链基础设施，这是以太坊脱颖而出的关键因素。以太坊悠久的运营历史、高安全性、广泛的应用场景以及充足的流动性，为机构投资者提供了显著的优势。
Lee回顾称，从2018年的熊市到2021年，以太坊的涨幅约为17倍。他认为，从长远来看，类似规模的更大规模飙升是有可能发生的。他提出，以太坊有可能超越此前约5000美元的前高点，涨幅达到10至12倍，这意味着在未来几年内，ETH价格可能重返60,000美元左右。然而，Lee强调，60,000美元并非短期或12个月的价格目标。
今年有望创出新高
在谈及短期走势时，Lee表示，此前的历史新高可能会形成心理阻力，但他并不认为这会阻碍以太坊的上涨步伐。当被问及以太坊今年是否可能创下历史新高时，Lee给出了“绝对”肯定的回答。他认为，短期内3000美元是一个合理的价格水平，而随后价格大幅突破5000美元也是可能的。
Lee还相信，当前的加密货币牛市可能是永久性的，该板块仍处于上升趋势周期的早期阶段。他注意到，以太坊近期从1500美元上涨至2800美元，但这一走势在市场并未引起足够的关注。据Lee分析，一些大型市场参与者因做空上涨行情而遭受重大损失。他认为，这表明投资者目前的市场仓位尚未完全反映以太坊的价格表现。
代币化与AI带来的催化剂
Lee对以太坊的乐观情绪不仅仅基于价格走势图表。这位知名分析师认为，资产代币化是推动传统金融领域转向区块链基础设施的最重要发展之一。根据Lee的观点，股票和其他金融资产代币化不仅将使市场能够实现全天候交易，区块链技术还有助于创建新的金融产品、利用资产作为抵押品，并消除现有金融交易中大量的中介环节。
He pointed out that currently a credit card transaction requires many different intermediaries and regulatory functions, and a large part of these links can be completed through smart contracts on a single blockchain. Lee also sees Wall Street's growing interest in stablecoins and tokenization technology as a major development, saying financial institutions can open up new sources of revenue through digital assets. In his view, for companies to adopt blockchain technology on a large scale, the technology must provide significant advantages over existing systems in terms of operational efficiency, revenue generation or customer experience.
In addition, Lee believes that Robinhood's choice of Ethereum as its blockchain infrastructure is an important indicator of the application potential of the network's enterprises. According to Lee, Ethereum's high security and liquidity played a key role in this choice, and the network's narrative is gradually evolving from a blockchain that relies solely on transaction fees to generate revenue to a more influential "value store" narrative.
Lee also highlighted the role of artificial intelligence as another long-term catalyst. He said that AI agents will conduct economic transactions with each other in the future, and he believes that blockchain and cryptocurrency infrastructure, especially in small, high-frequency payments, will play an important role. According to Lee, machine-to-machine micropayments via cryptocurrency may be more economical than traditional payment systems. Therefore, the development of the AI economy will further expand the use of blockchain infrastructure.
