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HBAR为何上涨？Hedera创下8个月新高

2026-09-29 20:43:04

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Altcoins in the cryptocurrency market are sharply divided, with Hedera (HBAR) leading the gains strongly

In the cryptocurrency market, there has been a sharp divergence trend among altcoins, and Hedera (HBAR) stands out with its strong upward momentum. In the past 24 hours, the value of HBAR has increased by about 25%, reaching a high of US$0.13, setting a new high since early January this year. Although prices subsequently fell back to around $0.12, the cumulative increase in the past two weeks has reached nearly 60%.

Hedera's market value has exceeded the US$5 billion mark, rising to 26th place in the market ranking, successfully surpassing popular altcoins such as Avalanche (AVAX) and Sui (SUI). Behind the increase in HBAR prices is mainly due to the recent increasing institutional cooperation in the Hedera ecosystem and positive developments in network usage.

Why did HBAR suddenly rise?

One of the most important reasons for HBAR's recent rise is believed to be the partnership between IBM and Hashgraph Group. The two companies plan to migrate their Hedera-based IDTrust platform to IBM Cloud. IDTrust is designed to help businesses create verifiable digital identities for AI agents. As businesses begin to operate with AI systems, authentication becomes increasingly important, and Hedera's underlying infrastructure in this space is gaining attention.

机构对 HBAR 的兴趣不仅限于此。据资料显示，BlackRock（贝莱德）旗下投资于美国国债的货币市场基金在 Hedera 上的代币化操作，促使链上净资产总额超过400亿美元。这表明，HBAR 的上涨并非仅由短期价格波动驱动，而是与其在机构应用领域的实际发展密切相关。

若 HBAR 突破0.13美元，会发生什么？

从技术面来看，价格飙升至0.13美元也引起了广泛关注。部分市场观察家指出，鉴于 HBAR 曾在类似价位出现过相似走势，认为上涨趋势可能持续。

The Moon Show 表示，HBAR 在大涨前出现的形态正在重现，并将0.13美元视为关键阻力位。他们认为，突破这一水平将为更强劲的价格运动铺平道路。分析师 Doctor Profit 则指出，HBAR 在突破周线 MA50 均线后往往会出现强劲上涨，并透露自己在突破发生时增加了仓位。

另一位市场评论员 OxNeena 则认为，该代币已脱离长期下跌通道，其上行目标分别设定为0.20美元、0.30美元和0.45美元。然而，这些仅为市场观察家的预期和技术分析，价格是否达到这些水平并无保证。

HBAR 的抛压正在减轻吗？

HBAR 的交易所数据也为此次上涨提供了支撑。近日数据显示，从中心化交易所流出的 HBAR 数量显著超过了流入量。

交易所的净流出表明，投资者正将代币从中心化平台转移至个人冷钱包。这种情况可能导致短期内交易所内待售的 HBAR 数量减少。不过，直接将交易所流出解读为“投资者绝不卖出”并不准确，净流量仅反映代币进出交易所钱包的情况。

尽管如此，在价格上涨期间净流出大于净流入，仍是追踪 HBAR 近期走势的重要链上指标之一。

HBAR 的上涨趋势能否延续？

尽管 HBAR 涨势强劲，但短期内仍存在风险信号。该代币的相对强弱指数 (RSI) 已突破70关口。RSI 是衡量资产近期价格动量的技术指标，高于70通常被视为超买区域，暗示在急剧上涨后可能出现回调。

HBAR 在过去两周内上涨约60%，进一步加剧了这一风险。价格在触及0.13美元后回落至0.12美元，显示部分投资者已开始获利了结。

因此，未来一段时间需同时关注两个关键因素：若 HBAR 能稳固站在0.13美元上方，将是测试本轮上涨是否持续的关键；反之，若 RSI 维持高位且获利盘增加，代币可能会回吐部分涨幅。

目前，IBM 与 Hedera 的合作关系、机构应用的进展以及交易所的净流出是推动 HBAR 上涨的主要因素。价格触及8个月高点，使其成为山寨币市场中最引人注目的行情之一。

本内容基于一般市场数据，不构成投资建议。建议读者进行独立研究。

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