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柴犬币价格预测：燃烧率暴跌91%，SHIB能否复苏？

2026-09-29 21:18:08
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SHIB每日销毁率骤降91.31%，价格回落至关键支撑区附近

据Finbold引用的Shibburn数据显示，9月28日SHIB的每日销毁率大幅下降了91.31%。当日约有338,050枚代币被移出流通市场，而此前的日均销毁量近390万枚。此次销毁速度的放缓恰逢SHIB从0.0000060至0.0000062美元附近的阻力位回落。

目前市场关注的焦点在于：在缺乏此前助推其9月部分反弹的“供应减少”叙事背景下，SHIB能否重新积累上涨动能。

SHIB重返关键支撑区域

SHIB近期曾从低于0.0000050美元的位置反弹至0.0000060美元上方，但此次突破未能维持。该代币于9月28日收盘时报约0.00000566美元，盘中最高触及0.00000598美元。目前的技术指标显示，0.0000056美元附近已成为一个重要的短期支撑区域，而200日均线则位于约0.0000058美元处。

这使得SHIB目前的态势弱于此前向0.0000061美元发起的冲刺阶段。若当时能成功突破，将为价格进一步迈向0.0000067美元打开空间。如果卖盘将SHIB打压至0.0000055美元以下，下一个显著的下跌目标区间将落在0.0000051至0.0000052美元附近。

销毁量崩溃真的重要吗？

代币销毁仍是Shiba Inu最引人注目的稀缺性叙事之一，但其对价格的短期影响远非直线相关。过往数据显示，SHIB的销毁率曾暴跌99%，但代币价格仍有所上涨；而在另一次案例中，尽管销毁率激增53,000%，也未能阻止SHIB价格下跌。

究其原因在于体量。SHIB的流通供应量仍以百万亿枚计，这意味着每日数十万甚至数百万枚的销毁量仅占总供应量的极小一部分。因此，在短期内，价格结构以及更广泛的模因币（Meme-coin）市场需求显得更为关键。

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