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股市期货上涨,市场等待历史性美联储利率决议

2026-09-16 21:38:22
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Fed Policy Announcement Takes Focus
Digital Assets Fall on Legislative Setback
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Pre-market trading showed positive momentum, with S & P 500 futures up 0.2% and Nasdaq futures soaring 0.4%. [TAG According to CME Group, the market is pricing in a 92% probability of a Fed rate hike, the first such move in three years. [TAG[8] Cryptocurrency markets took a hit, with bitcoin falling about 2 percent to about $75,000 after the Senate failed to advance the Clarity Act.
Crude oil markets fell back in early trading on Wednesday after a rebound Tuesday due to Houthi threats to Saudi Arabia's oil infrastructure.
Treasury yields hit post-financial crisis peaks, putting headwinds on stocks and intensifying pressure on monetary policymakers.

U.S. stock futures rise in pre-market trading

U.S. stock index futures posted gains in pre-market trading on Wednesday as market participants shook off the previous day's decline and prepared for a key Federal Reserve monetary policy announcement.
Futures contracts related to the S & P 500 rose 0.2%, while Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.4%. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose about 101 points, or 0.2%.

E-Mini S&P 500 Sep 26 (ES=F)

The previous trading day ended in a loss after the energy market experienced a significant rebound that hit multi-month highs. Concerns that Houthi forces in Yemen could disrupt Saudi Arabia crude oil production have fueled the rise.
However, by early Wednesday morning, energy prices began to fall. Brent crude futures fell 0.6% to close at $108.13 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) fell 1.1% to close at $104.66 a barrel. The cooling of the oil market has provided support for stock index futures.

Fed policy announcements come into focus

Market attention on Wednesday was squaredly focused on the Fed's monetary policy decisions. Market participants are almost unanimous that the central bank will raise interest rates for the first time in three years, with CME data showing a 92% probability of such a move.

Warning: The Federal Reserve is preparing to raise interest rates for the first time in three years.
The odds have soared to 94.5%, compared with less than 50% a month ago.
The vote in July was already 9 - 3, with three officials pushing for interest rates at the time.
Almost all major Wall Street banks are expected to do so, with most...

- Coin Bureau (@coinbureau) September 15, 2026

Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields have soared to levels not seen since the 2008 financial crisis, posing challenges to stock valuations and intensifying scrutiny of central bank decisions.
Market strategists emphasize the importance of the Fed's actions. Brent Wilsey, chief investment officer at Wilsey Asset Management, warned that maintaining current interest rates could "damage the Fed's credibility and reignite concerns that central banks will succumb to political pressure."
特朗普总统一直主张降低利率,如果主席凯文·沃什(Kevin Warsh)按计划进行预期中的加息,这可能会与美联储产生紧张关系。
市场观察家将仔细审视美联储更新的经济预测(点阵图)以及沃什主席的会后新闻发布会,以寻找未来政策方向的信号。

数字资产因立法挫折而下跌

比特币经历了约 2% 的跌幅,在美国参议院拒绝了一项关于《清晰度法案》的关键程序性动议后,交易价格接近 75,000 美元大关。该法案旨在为数字资产建立全面的监管指南。
这项立法的失败给加密货币市场带来了更多的不确定性,而该市场此前已经因更广泛金融市场的风险厌恶情绪而承受压力。
关于计划公布的经济数据,预计 8 月零售销售数据将显示改善。与此同时,随着抵押贷款利率居高不下持续影响该行业,全国房屋建筑商协会(NAHB)住房市场信心指数预计将减弱。
传统股市和加密货币资产在周三的交易时段都面临着巨大的赌注,取决于美联储的决定。债券收益率高企、持续的通胀压力、居高不下的能源成本以及数字资产的监管挑战相互交织,使得这次美联储会议成为近年来最重要的会议之一。
市场参与者将以与实际政策决定相同的热情分析沃什主席的评论。

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