The three major altcoins may fall further, as analysts warn of intensifying downside risks.
The cryptocurrency market has been hit hard after Monday's fake breakout rally. Bitcoin (BTC) and almost all altcoins tried to break through resistance, but were forcibly contained. However, analyst Ali Martinez believes that the short-term prospects of three of the main altcoins are quite bleak, and he predicts there will be more downside room in the future.
Will LINK, ADA, SOL fall deeper?
The analyst, who has more than 168,000 X (formerly Twitter) followers, first analyzed Chainlink's LINK token, noting that the token "appears to be falling below the neckline of the head-and-shoulder pattern on the four-hour chart." Martinez said that if assets fail to regain the resistance level of $13.56, the next downside target will be $12.39; if the sell-off continues, it will drop further to $11.98.
LINK's market landscape is particularly interesting because it previously surged to nearly $16 and subsequently experienced profit-taking. On-chain data shows that GSR has transferred two large tokens to the exchange and may be selling off the asset worth more than $8.2 million. In addition, Sanitation pointed out that LINK has surged 24% in the past few weeks, but growth in online activity and new wallets has lagged behind actual price increases. Similar signs suggest that this round of rally is not sustainable.
Martinez 名单中的第二个主要山寨币是 Cardano 的 ADA。自六月低点以来,ADA 涨幅约为 100%,并在十月初触及 0.28 美元。然而,它在日线图上升通道的顶部遭到拒绝。据分析师称,这可能导致价格再次下行至位于 0.21 美元的下边界。
正如我们最近报道的那样,随着基础资产飙升至数月高点,鲸鱼活动和社会媒体兴趣近期在更广泛的 Cardano 生态系统中有所升温。
Solana 的 SOL 是 Martinez 警告的最后一个山寨币。它此前曾跃过 120 美元大关,甚至挑战了 125 美元的阻力位,但在空头介入后大幅下挫,目前已被推至 115 美元以下。根据 Martinez 的分析,如果 SOL 在四小时图上收于 117 美元下方(事实确实如此),接下来的下行目标将分别为约 114 美元和 111 美元。
更广泛的市场视角
山寨币通常受比特币双向大幅波动的影响,最近的修正行情也不例外。市场领导者昨日在 20 分钟内暴跌 2,000 美元,随后继续下滑,在今日早些时候创下 17 天新低。
另一方面,此前预测下跌浪的 TD Sequential 指标目前在小时图上发出了买入信号。不过,目前比特币仍处于关键的 83,000 美元支撑位下方,如果未能很快克服这一障碍,可能会带来进一步的麻烦。

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