Core Highlights
- XRP broke through $1.60, hitting an eight-month high of $1.62.
- As of September 22, total net inflows into XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) reached US$1.73 billion.
- Futures open interest climbed to US$4.1 billion, surpassing Hyperliquid and Zcash.
- During the price rebound, the number of whale transactions and new wallet creations surged.
- Four leading Canadian banks conducted the XRP International Payment Settlement Test.
ETF capital inflows and derivatives trading surge
As of September 22, the total net capital flowing into XRP exchange-traded products reached US$1.73 billion. On September 22 alone, there were US$20.02 million in new capital inflows, of which Bitwise contributed US$19.16 million.
The capital flow model shows certain volatility. Zero net change was recorded on September 21, while there was an outflow of $43.7 million on September 18 and a withdrawal of $5.15 million on September 17. By comparison, September 16 brought in positive inflows of $3.5 million. In addition, Bitwise submitted revised XRP ETF registration documents with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on September 18.
在衍生品市场,XRP期货未平仓合约在24小时内飙升至41亿美元,创下九个月来的新高。根据Coinglass的数据,这一持仓规模使XRP在期货市场深度上超越了Hyperliquid和Zcash。衍生品平台的总交易量达到94亿美元,远远超过现货市场的22亿美元。芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的期货未平仓合约在24小时内上涨超过16%,达到7.56亿美元;币安(Binance)期货未平仓合约则增长10%,接近7亿美元。
在这24小时内,XRP产生的强制平仓总额超过170亿美元,仅次于比特币和以太坊。空头头寸平仓总额为950万美元,其中包括币安上一笔509万美元的XRP/USDT大规模清算事件。
技术分析与市场预期
技术分析师MikybullCrypto通过社交媒体评论称,鉴于近期的技术突破,XRP可能会经历51%的涨幅。另一位资深交易者Peter Brandt也发布了长期时间框架的预测,分析指出XRP可能达到5.40美元,图表形态表明在未来一年内有可能突破5美元大关。
银行业测试与市场背景
早在2016年,四家加拿大主要金融机构——加拿大皇家银行、蒙特利尔银行、加拿大帝国商业银行(CIBC)和丰业银行——就针对XRP进行了国际银行间支付转账的测试。随后,加拿大的六家最大银行机构合作开展了一项旨在用于区块链交易的代币化存款计划。该计划的初始部署实现了六家银行之间的加元代币化流通,后续阶段计划整合更多的数字资产基础设施。由于该平台背后的具体技术尚未公开,目前尚不能断定这是加拿大银行对XRP的独家采用。
与此同时,更广泛的加密货币市场也迎来了同步复苏。特朗普在联合国大会期间宣布与伊朗举行会晤的消息提振了市场情绪,带动了比特币、以太坊、XRP以及众多山寨币的价格回升。XRP的上涨轨迹出现在9月中旬因CLARITY法案投票活动引发的去杠杆化之后,其估值从1.30美元反弹至1.62美元的高点。

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