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HYPE价格下跌,因Multicoin Capital将1215万美元转移至Coinbase Prime

2026-09-24 15:46:22
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Multicoin Capital再次向Coinbase Prime存入130,331枚HYPE代币

加密货币投资机构Multicoin Capital近期向机构级托管平台Coinbase Prime存入了价值1,215万美元的130,331枚HYPE代币。此举使其自7月28日以来向该平台转移的代币总量达到423万枚,总估值约为2.85亿美元。

资金动向与市场背景

链上数据分析平台Lookonchain于9月24日报告称,此次存入是在该加密货币投资公司暂停类似转账一周后进行的。需要强调的是,将代币转入Coinbase Prime并不直接证实Multicoin Capital已经出售了这些资产,因为该平台同时支持机构托管和交易执行功能,且无法从链上数据直接追踪资产后续的流向。

截至撰稿时,根据Coinbase数据显示,HYPE的交易价格约为92.50美元,过去24小时内下跌约4%。尽管出现回调,但该代币仍较一周前上涨约17%,此前在9月23日曾创下97.99美元的历史新高。与此同时,Hyperliquid平台的未平仓合约价值(Open Interest)近期也触及了180亿美元的纪录。

长期持仓与投资逻辑

Lookonchain指出,自7月28日以来,Multicoin Capital累计存入Coinbase Prime的423万枚HYPE代币,按每次交易时的记录价值计算,总值约为2.85亿美元。最新这笔130,331枚HYPE的交易量约占该时期内转移至Coinbase Prime代币总量的3.1%。

Multicoin Capital的转账行为之所以受到关注,与其在Hyperliquid项目中的既往立场有关。早在今年6月,就有报道指出该投资机构已将HYPE作为其液态基金中最大的持仓之一,自2月以来一直在积累该代币。当时,Multicoin提出了一个基准情景预测:到2028年,HYPE的价格可能达到319美元。

这一估值部分基于Hyperliquid的收入和交易活动。Multicoin表示,2025年该平台在约2.9万亿美元的交易量中产生了约8.73亿美元的收入,用户基数也从约30.1万增长至92.3万。此外,Multicoin在6月的分析中指出,Hyperliquid的代币经济学也是其投资论点的重要组成部分:协议收入的约99%被用于回购HYPE,且Hyperliquid没有独立的股权层与代币持有者争夺协议经济利益。

当然,Multicoin也指出了可能影响其预测的风险因素,包括监管、竞争、治理、去中心化以及潜在的坏账问题。

存入机构平台不等于抛售

将HYPE发送至Coinbase Prime意味着将这些代币置于机构投资者用于执行和托管的基础设施中,但仅凭这一交易并不能确立资产已被出售的事实。

类似的情况曾出现在7月下旬,另一位大型持有者在取消质押后将HYPE转移至FalconX和Coinbase Prime。据Lookonchain数据,该钱包以平均约18美元的价格收购了102万枚HYPE。当时HYPE价格跌至55美元以下,但这主要受到加密市场整体疲软以及Hyperliquid测试网上无权限HIP 4部署推出等多重因素影响。当时的报道也指出,将代币转移至机构交易平台并不能证明发生了出售行为。

事实上,Multicoin本身在今年早些时候就拥有大量的HYPE敞口。Arkham曾标记出三个与该投资机构相关的钱包,显示其在5月份于HyperCore上质押了约196万枚HYPE,当时价值约8,200万美元。这些钱包合计持有约283万枚HYPE,估值近1.18亿美元。因此,最新的Coinbase Prime转账只是提供了另一批与Multicoin关联的HYPE已转移至机构平台的证据,而现有的链上数据并未表明这些代币随后被出售。

HYPE价格创纪录后的回调与流动性释放

Multicoin的最新转账发生在HYPE创下新高不久之后。Coinbase数据显示,HYPE在9月23日触及97.99美元的历史高点,随后在9月24日回落至约92.50美元。尽管当日出现下跌,但代币价格仍比一周前高出约17%。

The rally began to accelerate in mid-September. After Hyperliquid introduced manual USDC and USDT lending mechanisms for HYPE and Bitcoin collateral, HYPE reached its previous record of $92.56 on September 18. In this lending system, users can deposit HYPE or Bitcoin and borrow stablecoins. HYPE's loan-to-value ratio (LTV) is 65%, compared with 50% for Bitcoin.

The price increase came after the market digested a massive token unlock earlier this month. Hyperliquid released approximately 9.92 million HYPEs on September 6, when the token trading price was approximately US$82.60 and was worth approximately US$820 million. Historical exchange traffic data shows that unlocked supply has not automatically converted into the same amount of selling pressure. According to an analysis of HYPE token unlocks, after the previous unlock in March 2026, only approximately 1.75% of the released tokens flowed into the exchange in the next 30 days. The September release allows core contributors and ecosystem participants to receive allocation tokens that were previously limited by the vesting period, and unlocking assets does not mean recipients have to sell them.

Hyperliquid open interest hits record high

Trading activity on Hyperliquid continues to grow as HYPE prices approach record highs. On September 23, Hyperliquid's open interest value reached $18 billion, setting a record high, surpassing the high of $16.36 billion recorded on September 19. At the end of August, the figure was just over $13 billion, which means that in just a few weeks, open positions on the platform increased by about $5 billion.

其中,比特币、以太坊和HYPE占据了约93.3亿美元的未平仓合约。通过Hyperliquid的HIP 3框架,活动范围已超越加密市场,允许第三方质押HYPE并启动与其他资产挂钩的永续合约。目前通过HIP 3创建的市场包括与美国股票、黄金、原油、标普500指数以及私营公司挂钩的合约。Lookonchain报告称,截至9月初,HIP 3市场的累计交易量已超过5,480亿美元,占Hyperliquid此前30天交易量的约30%。

随着交易活动的增长,Hyperliquid继续利用协议收入购买HYPE。Lookonchain引用的OnchainLens数据显示,截至9月12日的24小时内,有32,770枚HYPE(价值约265万美元)被回购并销毁,平均价格为81.01美元。截至那时,累计销毁量已达到约4,857万枚HYPE,相当于代币最大供应量的约4.86%。

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