Shiba Inu price forecast: "You", developers responded when asked who paid for Shibarium

Shibarium's operating costs are borne by the individual developers: In-depth analysis of Shiba Inu's price forecast

First of all, a short answer is given: According to the project developers, the operating funds of Shiba Inu blockchain network Shibarium come from the private pocket of one of the developers. At noon Saturday, Shiba Inu was trading at $0.0000566, down about 4% from Friday. Nowadays, almost anyone looking for Shiba Inu price forecasts will see target prices between $0.00001 and $0.01. This article will use arithmetic calculations to reveal the market value requirements of these target prices, how much the frequently quoted "scarcity caused by destroying tokens" contributes to them, and what you actually hold in your hands as an investor.

"I pay for it": Shiba Inu developers 'statement on Shibarium financing

On October 2, user Ed Salomons asked on Platform X (formerly Twitter) who is funding the maintenance, security and further development of Shibarium? The background of the issue comes as another Ethereum network announced that it would shut down because its operating costs were no longer self-sufficient. Kaal Dhairya, one of the most well-known developers in Shiba Inu's circle, answered this question in two words: "Yours truly"("myself"). Trade media U.Today recorded the exchange.

Shibarium 是一种所谓的 Layer 2（第二层网络），它是一个独立的区块链，负责打包交易并将结果传递回以太坊，从而保持低廉的手续费。对于 Shiba Inu 而言，这个网络不仅仅是一个技术附加组件，它是该项目旨在使其代币产生稀缺性的引擎：Shibarium 上产生的一部分手续费会被兑换成 SHIB，然后发送到一个任何人都无法提取的地址。项目方称这种销毁行为为“燃烧”（Burn）。

Dhairya 没有提及具体的金额、周期或任何协助支付的第三方。这是评估的关键点。此类声明展示了承诺，但并未展示可持续的资金支持。任何据此推导价格目标的人都应公开将其标记为一种假设。

为什么 Layer 2 的融资不是次要问题

Layer 2 需要生产区块的机器、保持数据可用的节点、定期的安全审计以及应对事件的团队。无论有多少人使用网络，这些成本每天都会产生。通常，这些费用由交易手续费、项目国库或风险投资来资助。如果剩下的只有一个人的私人财富，那么这就是任何诚实的 Shiba Inu 价格预测中必须考虑的风险因素。

Shibarium 的数据：日均 2,288 笔交易，应用内资金为 55,760 美元

Numbers are more telling than statements of intent. Shibarium's public blockchain browser records showed 2,288 transactions on October 3. Since its launch, the chain has recorded a total of 612,871,998 transactions and 254,800,547 addresses spread across 10,537,692 blocks. The average time between two blocks is approximately 7.4 seconds, the Gas price is 0.26 Gwei, and the reported network load is zero percent.

The funding situation in the Shibarium application is more clear. Data service DefiLlama showed the amount was approximately $55,760 on October 3. For comparison: This is even less than the amount of a mid-sized purchase transaction on a cryptocurrency exchange. The data is based on the chain's public blockchain browser and DefiLlama's chain overview, both read from October 3, 2026. cryptoticker.io compiled these data on October 3, 2026.

This has two important implications for predictions. First, a chain with only 2,288 transactions per day generates very little fees, so there is almost no material for destroying tokens. Second, a chain with only $55,760 in in-app funding won't attract developers who will turn in use. These two points are mutually reinforcing.

[Image Placeholder: Even in a day of only 2,288 transactions, the network's operating costs continue to increase.]

Significance of Blast shutdown for Shiba Inu price forecasts

This is a fresh comparative case. Ethereum Network Blast announced that it would cease operations; its token price fell about 98% from its high and the balance had to be withdrawn. We described this case in an October 3 article: Blast is shutting down and users should withdraw their positions immediately.

This is what prompted people to ask Dhairya questions. Both networks share the same basic problem: costs persist, and usage cannot cover costs. The difference lies in the supporting context. Blast relied on the project treasury that eventually exhausted. Based on its October 2 announcement, Shibarium relied on one person. Both are fragile and investors should understand both before getting serious about price targets based on growth in Internet use.

To be fair: Currently nowhere on the table (there is no indication) that Shibarium will be closed, and no one has announced this. But the point is the differences. If a network relies on a single sponsor for its operations, it cannot maintain its scarcity mechanism indefinitely when fees fail to materialize.

Burning rate and circulation supply: 2.8 million SHIBs per day

Now let's look at the arithmetic problems that must be measured for every price forecast. Combustion counter Shibburn records show that 2,801,666 SHIBs were destroyed in the past 24 hours. Since launch, a total of 410,844,457,086,812 tokens have been destroyed, accounting for approximately 41% of the original quadrillions supply.

今天的流通供应量因数据服务提供商而异：Shibburn 显示为 585.47 万亿枚 SHIB，CoinGecko 显示为 589.24 万亿枚。这两个数字在此并列展示，而非合并为一个整洁的数字。以较小的那个计算，像今天这样的一天消除了流通供应量的 0.00000048%。

外推一下就能看出这意味着什么。按照这个速度，燃烧掉当前流通供应量的单个百分之一大约需要 5,700 年。即使每天消失的数量增加一百倍，达到约 2.8 亿枚 SHIB，仍然需要大约 57 年才能达到那一个百分点。稀缺性是真实的，但在可预见的未来，它并不足以推动价格上涨的力量。

因此，任何从燃烧角度进行论证的人，实际上主要是在谈论情绪和注意力。这是一个合理的论点，但它是短期的，不能替代实际需求。

0.0001 美元或 0.01 美元的价格目标要求多少市值

第二个计算更为简单，但仍很少被执行。市值等于价格乘以流通供应量。根据 CoinGecko 报告的 10 月 3 日的 589.24 万亿枚代币，涉及的金额如下：

• 每枚 SHIB 0.00001 美元对应约 59 亿美元的市值。
• 每枚 SHIB 0.0001 美元对应约 589 亿美元的市值。
• 每枚 SHIB 0.001 美元对应约 5,890 亿美元的市值。
• Each SHIB of US$0.01 (the oft-quoted one-cent target) corresponds to a market value of approximately US$5.9 trillion.

For reference: The market value of Bitcoin that day was approximately US$1.7 trillion. A price of 1 cent for SHIB means the valuation will be 3.5 times that of Bitcoin that day. Shiba Inu currently has a market value of US$3.34 billion, ranking 36th among the largest cryptocurrencies.

This calculation does not negate any price target, but puts it in the background. The $0.00001 target requires nearly doubling the market value, so it is a completely normal market fluctuation. The $0.01 target requires a reordering of the entire crypto market. Anyone who views both numbers as predictions in the same context should know that there is a difference of three orders of magnitude between them.

Today's Shiba Inu price: US$0.0000566 and last 24 hours range

As of Saturday, October 3, the price of a SHIB is US$0.00000566, or 0.00000503 euros. Over the past 24 hours, prices have fluctuated between $0.00000553 and $0.0000595, a decline of approximately 4.4%. It fell by about 4.5% in a week and rose by about 9% in a month. Trading volume was approximately US$82 million. The data comes from CoinGecko.

Prices are still far from their historical highs. The historical high of 0.00008616 will appear on October 27, 2021. Starting from today, there is still a lack of an increase of about 93%. In other words: prices need to increase more than 15 times. This record was set almost exactly five years ago, which is not unimportant when putting predictions in the background.

The reference point in the downward direction is the intraday low of $0.0000553 and the integer mark below $0.000050. In the upward direction, the intraday high is at US$0.0000595, followed by the US$0.000060 mark, which has served as resistance several times in recent times. These levels are points to be observed, not commitments; they stem from the range of transactions over the past few days.

[Image Placeholder: For extremely small amounts of tokens, it is usually the result of tax decisions rather than the third decimal place of the price.]

Holding periods and thresholds: German SHIB earnings applicable rules

Here's the part you can really influence today. In Germany, the proceeds from the sale of cryptocurrencies are considered private disposal under Article 23 of the Income Tax Act. The holding period is key: If there is more than one year between purchase and sale, the proceeds are tax-exempt. Anyone who sells within one year will pay income tax at the personal income tax rate.

There are also thresholds. Starting from the 2024 tax year, tax exemption will be granted as long as the total proceeds from private disposals remain below € 1,000 during the calendar year. The word "threshold" should be understood literally: if you exceed even one euro, you will have to pay tax on the entire amount, not just the excess.

This is particularly important for SHIB because many positions consist of several small purchases. Each individual purchase has its own date and therefore its own expiration date. Anyone selling today should first check which parts of the position have passed the one-year deadline. Taxation bureaus usually use the first-in, first-out (FIFO) principle for calculations.

Additional note on year-end: December 31 is the cut-off date when gains and losses for the calendar year can be hedged. Anyone carrying other private disposal losses can hedge them against gains. The decision was made in December, but preparations need to begin now.

Purchases under MiCA supervision, as well as spreads and custody for fractional cent tokens

Since European MiCA regulations are fully applicable, providers can only provide cryptocurrency services in Germany if authorized. In practice this means: purchasing through a provider authorized and clearly stated by the EU. An overview of regulated trading venues can be found in our Comparison of Best Cryptocurrency Exchanges .

For tokens worth US$0.0000566, the gap between the purchase and sale prices deserves special attention. This gap is called the spread. For extremely small amounts, it is often heavier in a percentage sense than the stated transaction fee. Add the two and compare them before purchasing, rather than just comparing the fee numbers themselves.

About escrow: SHIB is a token on Ethereum, so positions can be kept in any wallet that supports Ethereum. People holding large amounts should separate custody from the exchange. People holding smaller amounts must weigh whether the online fees of withdrawing cash are worth it; for tens of euros, it may eat up a significant portion of the position.

Long and short views on Shiba Inu price forecasts

Long views (bullish)Based on three points. First, SHIB has risen by about 9% in the past month, showing greater resilience than today's one-day decline. Second, the October 2 announcement was a signal that development is continuing despite weak funding. Third, Meme tokens have historically reacted strongly to the overall stage of the market; when the broader market recovers, SHIB is often one of the names that fluctuate more.

Short view (bearish) is based on the above data. A chain with only 2,288 transactions per day and $55,760 in in-app funds generates negligible fees. Without fees, there is no meaningful burning, and without burning, the most important argument in support of a higher price target disappears. In addition, there is an open question of how long private pocket funds can last.

Both views are scenarios, not predictions. Putting them together leads to a dispassionate assessment: SHIB can fluctuate by tens of percentage points at any time, depending largely on the broader market. In contrast, lasting jump by an order of magnitude requires demand, and today's network data provides no evidence of this.

Shiba Inu Price Forecast: Key Points of your Decision

The situation can be summarized in one sentence: Prices depend on the broader market, the scarcity caused by combustion is mathematically too small to change this fact, and the financing of the project's own network has been an unsolved mystery since October 2. This leads to three steps:

1. collate the holding periods of some positions. 检查哪些购买已经通过了一年的期限，以及你距离 1,000 欧元的门槛有多近。相关工具见税务和组合工具比较。
2. 权衡托管与成本。 检查你的持仓是否大到值得拥有自己的钱包，以及提现成本是多少。硬件钱包比较中的设备主要在操作和价格上有所不同。
3. 关注网络数据而非价格目标。 每日交易次数和应用中绑定的资本比一个带有四个零的数字更能说明接下来的几个月。合适的工具见分析平台比较。

(截至 2026 年 10 月 3 日。本文不构成投资建议。价格和费用结构会发生变化；购买前请与提供商核实条款。)