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Forecast for this week's XRP price trend (October 12 - 18)

2026-10-11 15:44:21
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[TAG The XRP price failed to break through the $1.50-$1.60 resistance zone last week, which is exactly the key area we previously pointed out buyers need to recover in order to launch a more convincing rally. Instead, XRP has fallen along with the entire cryptocurrency market and is currently trading at around $1.39.

The latest two-hour chart shows that the token has stabilized after falling sharply to around $1.32, but momentum remains weak and the price remains below several important resistance levels.

XRP price movements vs. key levels

Over the past seven days, XRP traded close to $1.50 before the general sell-off accelerated. The decline caused prices to fall below $1.45 and $1.40, before XRP briefly touched around $1.318. That level triggered a strong rebound, but the recovery stalled around $1.40.

The current structure leaves several clear points that need attention:

points| Importance
$1.31-$1.33| Major Short-term Support
$1.36-$1.38| Instant Support
$1.40-$1.42| First Resistance Level
$1.45| Important Recovery Threshold
$1.50-$1.52| Main Resistance Level
$1.60| The larger bullish confirmation area

The $1.40 to $1.42 region is the first barrier that bulls need to recover. If we can stand at US$1.45, the situation will be further improved, but XRP still needs to recover the US$1.50 to US$1.52 range before the chart shape will appear significantly stronger.

Source: CoinAnk

From the perspective of downside risks, if the support of US$1.36 is lost, US$1.33 will become the focus of attention again. If it effectively falls below US$1.31, it may expose the US$1.25 area.

RSI, MACD and CCI indicators remain cautious

Short-term momentum indicators have not yet given bulls much confidence. The RSI readings were 40.4, 45.0 and 44.2, respectively. All three values remain below the neutral level of 50. This means that XRP has recovered from deep oversold conditions, but momentum has not yet turned bullish.

MACD also showed weakness. The DIF line is close to-0.0025, the signal line is approximately-0.0022, and the histogram is still slightly negative. The indicator no longer shows the extreme downward momentum of the crash, but it also does not confirm a strong reversal signal.

The CCI indicator is close to-61. This suggests momentum is below neutral, but well above the extreme oversold levels recorded during the sell-off period.

Overall, indicators point to stabilization rather than a definitive recovery.

XRP News This Week

There have been a number of important developments related to XRP this week. Evernorth, a digital asset treasury backed by Ripple, has completed its SPAC merger and is preparing to trade on Nasdaq under the XRPN code. The company holds approximately 473 million XRPs worth approximately $662 million at current prices, and has raised more than $1 billion. This provides open market investors with another indirect access to XRP.

另一项重大进展来自RippleX。团队披露并修复了自2015年以来一直存在于XRP分类账中的关键整数溢出漏洞。理论上,该漏洞可能允许攻击者在网络1000亿枚代币上限之外创建可花费的XRP。重要的是,RippleX表示没有证据表明该缺陷曾在公共网络上被利用过。

Avalanche创始人Emin Gün Sirer也对更广泛的安全问题发表了评论。他警告称,日益强大的AI系统最终可能会比人类研究人员更快地发现区块链中隐藏的软件漏洞。他的言论属于推测性质,并未关联到任何影响XRP Ledger的实际漏洞。

因此,本周的新闻呈现出一幅混合的画面。Evernorth增加了另一个机构级XRP载体,XRPL的漏洞虽严重但已修补,而AI安全辩论则为区块链开发者增添了另一个需要长期监控的问题。

本周XRP价格预测

图表为10月12日至18日留下了三种现实情景:

情景 | 可能发生的情况 | XRP价格区间
看涨 | XRP收复1.42美元并在1.45美元上方建立动能 | $1.48-$1.52,潜在目标$1.55
中性 | XRP在最近崩盘后盘整 | $1.35-$1.45
看跌 | 1.36美元失守且卖家重新测试近期低点 | $1.31-$1.33,潜在目标$1.25

A bullish scenario requires XRP to recover $1.42 first. A subsequent stop at $1.45 will reopen the path to $1.48 to $1.52. If XRP finally breaks through $1.52, the next target may point to $1.55 to $1.60.

A neutral scenario will keep prices hovering between $1.35 and $1.45, waiting for improvements in the broader crypto market environment.

If the XRP price loses $1.36, the possibility of a bearish scenario increases. That would bring $1.33 back into view, followed by a recent low of $1.318. After the region continues to break below, the $1.25 region may be exposed.

For this week, the main battle is simple: XRP needs to recover US$1.42 to US$1.45 to rebuild momentum.

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