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XRP的累计成交量差(CVD)骤降至1620万,分析师警告存在下行风险

2026-09-28 03:28:20
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XRP价格趋稳,但CVD指标骤降引发警惕

近日,XRP的价格总体保持平稳,但在表面平静之下,市场动态正悄然发生显著变化。加密货币分析师Xaif(@Xaif_Crypto)指出,XRP的累积成交量差额(CVD)出现急剧下降,这一信号可能预示着该数字资产短期前景面临潜在风险。

CVD急剧下跌暗示激进抛售

Xaif强调,XRP的价格与其CVD读数之间出现了明显的背离。CVD是一个衡量交易所间激进买盘与卖盘压力的指标,目前已跌至1620万美元。这一数值远低于其2090万和2650万美元的移动平均线,这种技术面破位表明近期卖方力量已超越买方。

尽管CVD大幅下滑,但XRP的价格尚未完全反映这一变化,仍继续在关键支撑位上方交易。Xaif指出,虽然价格保持稳定,但CVD迅速回落至1620万美元——低于两条关键移动平均线——反映出不断加剧的卖压正在被市场吸收。如果买方不能及时介入以扭转趋势,价格可能会进一步走弱。

图表形态与技术关键位

Xaif分享的一张10日图表突显了近期的波动性。CVD在9月23日左右达到约6200万美元的峰值,随后急剧回落至当前水平。图表中圈出的区域突出了这一跌幅,而带有红色实体的K线形态则证实了近期卖方的主导地位。

The divergence between price movements and CVD remains a focus for analysts. Historically, when CVD falls and prices are flat, it usually means that buying support is absorbing sell orders. However, if aggressive selling continues and demand fails to recover, this balance could quickly be broken. Xaif warned that the gap between the current $16.2 million CVD and the moving average marks a significant decrease in net buying volume. For bulls, regaining momentum requires a large purchase order to push CVD back above the technical average.

XRP is about to hit a decisive market

Currently, XRP is trading at US$1.52, down nearly 2% in the past 24 hours. The current technology landscape puts pressure on buyers to enter and regain upward momentum. If CVD fails to recover, the existing price structure may become increasingly fragile.

Analyst Xaif emphasized the importance of closely monitoring CVD: if the indicator stabilizes and turns upward, XRP is expected to hold on to the current price; on the contrary, if CVD continues to decline, it may accelerate the downward trend of token value.

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