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BTC U.S. spot bitcoin ETF inflows have slowed significantly
In the past 13 trading days, U.S. spot bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) inflows have been approximately US$230 million. This growth rate has slowed down significantly compared with the explosive growth of US$1.7 billion in late September.
Key data on capital flows
Since September 22, the spot Bitcoin ETF has attracted a cumulative net inflow of approximately US$230 million in 13 trading days. However, the pressure of capital outflows is equally significant. In the two days on October 7 and 8 alone, about US$730 million was withdrawn from relevant funds.
data showed that almost all of Friday's net inflow of US$21.1 million came from BlackRock's IBIT funds. Meanwhile, Fidelity's Wise Origin Bitcoin fund lost $3.6 million. Among the 12 ETFs participating in the transaction, 9 had zero capital flow that day. In terms of performance throughout the week, IBIT was basically flat, while Fidelity Funds lost about $380 million, accounting for more than half of the week's net outflow.
Review of ETF fund flows
According to SoValues tracking data, investors invested US$999 million in these funds in a single day on September 21, and an additional US$714.8 million the next day. However, total net inflows over the next 13 trading days were only about $234 million, according to Farside Investors.
9月30日出现的1.487亿美元净流出结束了此前的上涨势头，尽管10月1日和2日出现短暂反弹，但很快消退。10月7日，基金赎回规模达到4.849亿美元，创下自6月以来的最差单日表现；次日又有2.441亿美元流出。该周整体呈现约6.8亿美元的净流出，为6月下旬以来最大单周流出量。
市场展望与分析师观点
周末期间，比特币价格重新站上8.3万美元关口，但由于美国市场休市，ETF买家尚未对此做出确认反应。分析师Daan Crypto Trades指出，若比特币能维持在该水平之上收盘，将在短期内利好多头行情。不过，突破熊市趋势后，200日均线的阻力往往会被反复测试。
更为乐观的预测则基于持续的需求增长。花旗集团（Citigroup）在9月30日发布的一份报告中，将其12个月期的比特币目标价从8.2万美元上调至11.3万美元。报告预计，随着财务顾问和券商逐步增加加密资产配置，未来一年将有约50亿美元的加密货币资金流入市场。
宏观事件与市场情绪
Currently, traders are closely watching the September consumer price index (CPI) data released on October 14. On the morning of the same day, BlackRock, the world's largest issuer of spot bitcoin ETF, will also announce quarterly earnings. Previously, the Senate failed to pass the closing debate vote on the Clarity Act in mid-September, triggering a large-scale outflow of funds. Later, ETFs ushered in a nine-day net inflow cycle, totaling approximately US$3 billion. After entering October, the previous increase has been greatly wiped out. In the first seven trading days of this month, related funds recorded a cumulative net outflow of US$386.3 million.
