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XRP Senate procedural vote on CLARITY bill fails to meet expectations
On Tuesday, the U.S. Senate procedural vote on the CLARITY bill failed to obtain the 60 votes needed to pass. Republicans rejected a last-minute counterproposal from Democrats, leaving XRP holders facing a market that lacked the regulatory catalyst many investors expected.
The story of the breakdown of negotiations
Negotiations reached a deadlock in the final hours before the cloture vote at 2:15 pm (EST). The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act was blocked with a 49 - 50 vote well short of the 60 votes needed to pass legislation. Republicans led by Sen. Cynthia Loomis over the weekend released what they called the "final, best and final" plan, which includes dozens of changes Democrats have demanded, including stricter moral restrictions.
Democrats filed a counter-proposal late Monday night to continue pushing for stronger conflict-of-interest safeguards related to President Trump's crypto-asset holdings. According to reports, Loomis's spokesman said that Democrats "refused to give in," while Republicans directly rejected the counter-proposal. Because Republicans have 53 Senate seats, they need at least seven Democratic votes to cross the threshold, but that goal has not been achieved.
Why is XRP becoming the focus
鉴于Ripple公司与SEC长达多年的法律斗争，XRP长期以来被视为与该法案命运最紧密相关的代币之一。《CLARITY法案》本可以将XRP作为数字商品的地位编纂入联邦法律，使其免受未来SEC政策变化的影响。如果没有该法案，这种保护现在仅依赖于地区法院的一项裁决，而这项裁决仍面临未来的挑战。
随着周二投票的进行，XRP的交易价格大约在1.39至1.40美元之间，略高于近期在1.34至1.35美元附近的支撑区间。这一风险因美联储次日宣布利率决定而加剧；如果鹰派结果叠加在失败的投票之上，可能会将XRP推向1.00美元的水平。尽管如此，人们普遍认为，单是《CLARITY法案》停滞不前还不足以将代币拉低至该水平以下。
立法者仍可能尝试进一步的谈判，但随着中期选举日历的临近，该法案在2026年通过的窗口期已大幅缩小。市场观察人士现在认为，最早也要到2027年才会有下一次现实的机会。
