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BTC 
ETH 核心要点
- 通过ETF流入的机构资本依然强劲
- 关键技术水平受到密切关注
参议院拒绝《CLARITY法案》后，以太坊（ETH）价格跌至2,400美元。在96小时内，超过14万枚ETH（价值约3.5亿美元）撤出交易所，从而降低了抛压。本周美国现货以太坊ETF吸引了1.21亿美元的资本，延续了连续五周的净流入态势。在过去七天里，大型持有者增加了约20万枚ETH的头寸。如果ETH失去2,431美元的关键支撑位，下一个重要支撑位在2,270美元（50日指数移动平均线EMA附近）。
以太坊价格走势与市场动态
周二，由于参议院未能通过《CLARITY法案》，该法案未达到推进所需的60票门槛，以太坊价格暴跌至约2,400美元。参议院共和党人拒绝了民主党人提出的修正案，导致ETH价值下跌5%。然而，区块链指标揭示了表面之下更为复杂的图景。
Data that tracks exchanges 'capital flows show that more than 140,000 ETH-worth approximately $350 million-were withdrawn from centralized exchanges during a 96-hour window. Cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez highlighted this trend on Platform X (formerly Twitter), noting: "As ETH available on exchanges decreases, potential selling pressure is declining, which enhances the possibility of a bullish breakout." According to Sand's analysis data, exchange inventories have shrunk significantly from 22.9 million ETH in June 2020 to 6.06 million ETH currently. This decrease is mainly due to pledge activity, ETF accumulation and operations by corporate treasury (such as Bitmine, which currently controls 4.9% of Ethereum's total circulating supply).
At the same time, a whale sold US$64 million worth of Bitcoin (BTC) and converted all the proceeds into Ethereum (ETH). This asset rotation behavior has attracted market attention.
Institutional capital continues to flow into ETFs
On Monday alone, the U.S. spot Ethereum ETF absorbed US$121 million in new capital, achieving net positive accumulation for the second consecutive day. On Friday, ETH ETF inflows of US$216.4 million. It is worth noting that on this day, Bitcoin ETF experienced a net outflow. Since the week that ended August 21, the Ethereum ETF has recorded positive weekly funds flows for five consecutive weeks.
在衍生品市场方面，Deribit的未平仓合约规模扩大至117.7亿美元，自9月12日以来增加了7亿美元，市场似乎在为美联储的公告做准备。币安的多空比达到3.10——这是自2026年6月以来观察到的最高水平——表明交易员在美联储利率决定前普遍押注价格上涨。
加密货币市场分析师IncomeSharks在X平台分享称，ETH似乎正在重复一个可识别的模式：“上方假突破，下方假突破，然后重回正轨。与上次相同的剧本。”他指的是之前的价格整合阶段。另一位分析师Ted在X平台上指出，一名大型持有者清算了价值6,000万美元的比特币，并将全部收益转换为ETH。
关键技术点位监测
目前ETH交易在其20日EMA（位于2,435美元）和2,431美元的支撑阈值下方。RSI指标徘徊在51左右，而随机振荡器已进入超卖区域。
如果ETH无法收复2,431美元，随后的支撑区域将位于2,270美元附近的50日EMA，而2,266美元的200日EMA将提供额外支持。日线收盘价若低于2,380美元，可能会触发对2,200美元水平的重新测试。
币安高达3.10的多空比与连续五周的ETF资金流入，代表了当前数据集中最强的看涨指标。
