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XRP XRP期权市场乐观情绪主导，溢价显著飙升
XRP期权市场出现了一个引人注目的现象：看涨头寸的溢价大幅上升，这反映了投资者热情的重新点燃。据Coinbase Markets报道，这是过去一年来观察到的最强一波乐观情绪浪潮之一。当前数据显示，投资者愿意承担更高的成本，以博取潜在的短期上涨行情。
偏斜指标揭示了什么？
根据Coinbase Markets的数据，XRP的一周25Delta看涨期权与看跌期权的偏斜比率已飙升至9.3个波动率点，达到了历史第95百分位。这一异常值凸显了对看涨期权的需求相对于看跌期权的罕见增强——这种情况极为少见。
Coinbase Markets指出，投资者越来越愿意为预期价格上涨的头寸支付溢价。尽管如此，这一趋势并不能保证价格会出现同等或立即的上涨。
反弹速度有多快？
在2025年末至2026年上半年的大部分时间里，XRP的一周偏斜比率一直处于负值区间，偶尔甚至跌至低于负10个波动率点。这表明当时看跌期权的隐含波动率高于看涨期权。
随着8月底的到来，平衡迅速扭转，推动该指标突破15个波动率点，随后出现轻微回调。目前的观察结果显示，该指标已回升至两位数水平，维持着看涨的市场情绪。
偏斜指标衡量的是什么？
This target measure measures the difference in implied volatility between a one-week XRP call option and a same-term put option with a strike price of 25Delta. Through this comparison, Coinbase, one of the major U.S. cryptocurrency platforms, can monitor the costs investors bear when hedging upward or downward positions.
Small Dictionary: 25Delta Risk Reversals measure the difference in implied volatility between similar call and put options. A positive value means investors pay a higher premium for upside protection or seeking profits.
The current value of 9.3 points means that the implied volatility of the relevant call option is 9.3 points higher than that of comparable put options, which reflects a shift in the direction of option demand but does not directly represent a price target. Extreme skew ratios do not in themselves provide a clear price signal, but rather indicate that investors are willing to bear unusually high costs for bullish positions.
Recent price movements have attracted attention
This trend in the options market coincides with a significant recovery in XRP prices. Data from CoinGecko showed that the value of XRP has increased by about 18% in the past week, consistent with strengthened demand for call options in the short term.
