PENGU price forecast: Igloo stops Abstract project 18 months after financing, fully invests in Puggy

Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) 价格分析：Abstract 链关闭后的市场反应与展望

2026年10月8日清晨，Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) 的交易价格约为 0.0088 美元（约合 0.0078 欧元）。过去七天内，其跌幅接近 9%，其中大部分跌幅源于周二晚间的一则新闻：Pudgy Penguins 背后的公司 Igloo Inc. 宣布关闭其自有区块链 Abstract，并将把全部精力集中于 Pudgy Penguins 品牌、NFT 集合以及 PENGU 代币本身。这一消息对 PENGU 的价格预测具有双重影响：一方面，亏损源得以消除；另一方面，项目赖以发展的叙事部分也随之消失。

Igloo 公告摘要：Abstract 关停，PENGU 回归中心地位

Igloo 首席执行官 Luca Netz 于 10 月 6 日在 X 平台上阐述了这一决定的原因。Igloo 曾在 2024 年夏季收购 Frame 公司，旨在构建一个面向日常加密使用的区块链网络，即基于以太坊的 Abstract 网络。据 Netz 透露，在过去 18 个月中，Igloo 为 Abstract 提供了资金支持，但在两年内损失了数千万美元，且未找到可行的商业模式。他列举的原因包括缺乏去中心化金融（DeFi）产品、流动性不足、大型投资者兴趣寥寥以及高昂的成本。他表示，继续从 Pudgy Penguins 业务中抽调资金来维持 Abstract 已不再合理。

同样值得注意的是 Igloo 所做出的拒绝行为。据 Netz 称，公司曾考虑发行自己的 Abstract 代币或通过代币销售来拯救该链，但最终予以否决，因为“代币只有在有需求驱动的情况下才能发挥作用”。尽管 Abstract 在其关停声明中引用了超过 40 万用户和链上运行着超过 144 个应用的数据，但公司认为这些不足以支撑代币经济的可行性。

Abstract 将于 2026 年 12 月 15 日正式关闭。在此之前，任何仍持有该链上资产的用户必须将资金转出。届时仍未桥接回主网的资产将无法访问，其中包括存放在 Abstract 上的 PENGU。需要注意的是，PENGU 主要在 Solana 网络上运行，此外还在 Ethereum 和 BNB Chain 等其他链上运行，这些链上的状态不会受到影响。关于如何从 Abstract 转移余额及具体路径，建议参考相关操作指南。

PENGU 价格预测：战略转向对代币的影响

For PENGU holders, this decision has both advantages and disadvantages. On the positive side, Igloo stopped injecting funds from Puggy Penguins 'business into a chain that was unable to be self-sufficient. The team, budget and attention will now be fully invested in building the brand to which PENGU is attached. However, the challenge also exists: Abstract, which was supposed to be home to applications that use PENGU, has disappeared. A company that has just admitted losses of tens of millions of dollars still needs to prove to the market how it will use a new focus strategy to fill the void.

The market traded negative factors first. Before the news was announced late Tuesday, PENGU was trading at about $0.0094; by late Wednesday, it fell to about $0.0085, a drop of about 10%. The market also saw a correction over the same period, but by a smaller margin: Bitcoin fell about 3%, and meme coins Dogecoin and Bonk fell about 6% and 8%, respectively. PENGU has since recovered slightly, but is still about 7% below its pre-announcement level.

In the past twelve months, PENGU has fallen by approximately 71%, down approximately 87% from the record high of approximately US$0.068 set on December 17, 2024. However, it has risen slightly in the past 30 days. Prices are currently slightly above the 50-day moving averages (approximately $0.0085) and 200-day moving averages (approximately $0.0084), which are based on CoinMarketCap's daily closing price.

Key resistance level:

• US$0.0094:This is the first line of defense above, the price level before the Abstract news was released. If we can stand above this position, it means that the market has absorbed the previous discount.
• US$0.0100 and US$0.0110: Key resistance levels above these levels. $0.0100 was a seven-day high on October 2, and $0.0110 was a thirty-day high on September 23.

Key support:

• US$0.0085: This is the first line of defense below, the weekly low on Wednesday night, and corresponds to the position of the 50-day moving average.
• US$0.0084 and US$0.0067: is lower. First is the 200-day moving average, followed by the September 16 low, where the previous week's rally began. If the closing price falls below these two moving averages, the recent upward trend needs to be reassessed.

Unlock on October 17: The team and company released 723 million PENGUs

Nine days after the Abstract news was announced, the next fixed date arrives. According to the unlocking plan in Tokenomics, approximately 723 million PENGUs will be unlocked and distributed to teams and companies on October 17. At current prices, this is worth approximately US$6.3 million, accounting for approximately 1% of the circulation supply. Such batches are released on the 17th of each month, most recently on September 17th, and will continue until November 2028. Of the total of approximately 88.9 billion PENGUs, approximately 70.7% are currently in circulation.

此次解锁本身并非新鲜事，但背景却非同寻常。Igloo 刚刚承认巨额亏损，同时正将所有资源指向 Pudgy Penguins。公司是否会出售解锁的代币以资助新战略尚不明确。10 月 17 日之后，链上数据将揭示接收地址是将 PENGU 发送至交易所还是选择持有。

德国投资者购买 PENGU 前的注意事项

购买渠道：仅在符合欧盟 MiCA 加密法规授权的平台购买 PENGU。有关持有此类执照的交易所信息，请参考受监管加密交易所的比较列表。

托管与安全：PENGU 存在于多个网络中。每次转账时，请确认交易所支付的网路，并确保您的钱包支持该网络，选错网络可能导致代币丢失。对于 Solana 和 Ethereum 网络，建议使用经过验证的软件钱包。如果您关注的是该系列的 NFT 而非代币本身，请参阅 NFT 市场比较列表。

杠杆风险：meme 币的波动性远大于比特币，正如 Abstract 新闻所示：不到一天内约 10% 的跌幅足以清算十倍杠杆的头寸。

持有期与税务：In Germany, if the period between the purchase and sale of cryptocurrency assets exceeds one year, gains are exempt from tax under Article 23 of the Income Tax Act. According to the Federal Ministry of Finance's draft of September 30, 2026, assets purchased from January 1, 2027 will face a non-holding period tax requirement. The Cabinet is expected to pass the draft on October 14. Existing rules will still apply until the law is formally promulgated.

PENGU: The tone will be set by three key dates in the next few weeks

1. October 17: About 723 million PENGUs have been unlocked. If the tokens stand still, the pressure on the situation will be reduced; if they are moved to the exchange, they will face more supply pressure.
2. Igloo's new initiatives: Netz said it will take Pudgy Penguins to new heights, but there is currently no specific plan. The market will pay close attention to its next steps.
3. December 15:Abstract is officially closed. During this period, the two most important areas on the chart are $0.0094 above and the two moving averages below (approximately $0.0085).

Cryptocurrency assets fluctuate violently, and meme coins even risk returning to zero. This article aims to put news and price levels in context for interpretation and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell PENGU. As of October 8, 2026. This article does not provide investment advice. Price and fee structures may change, please consult provider terms before purchasing.