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Cardano面临0.21美元风险：ADA还会下跌吗？

2026-10-14 21:22:41

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Cardano网络交易量创下五年新高，但这一势头未能支撑ADA价格。代币在过去七天内下跌了约12%，大型投资者在五天内抛售了超过1.1亿枚ADA；每日活跃地址数量也下降了41.36%。

抛售1.1亿枚ADA，市场目光聚焦0.24美元支撑位

根据加密货币分析师Ali Martinez的数据，大型投资者在过去五天内抛售了超过1.1亿枚ADA。随着代币价格接近关键支撑位，这些抛售行为加剧了市场的下行压力。

网络用户活跃度同样有所减弱。每日活跃地址数量从27,248个降至15,977个，降幅达41.36%。这一数据表明，与Cardano网络进行交互的每日独立地址数量正在减少。

Martinez所关注的临界支撑位为0.24美元。如果ADA价格跌破该支撑位，分析师认为价格可能进一步回落至0.21美元。该位置接近价格上升通道的下轨。

Cardano交易量刷新五年纪录

尽管价格和活跃地址数据表现疲软，Cardano网络却呈现出另一番景象。在第660周期（Epoch）期间，网络共处理了1,780,896笔交易，超越了2021年11月创下的1,566,974笔交易的 previous 纪录。

平均每区块的交易量也达到83.83笔，创下历史新高。

It’s important to distinguish between two different indicators: the total volume of transactions measures the overall number of transactions that occur on the network, while the number of active addresses per day tracks the number of addresses involved in interactions. Therefore, a new high in transaction volume doesn’t necessarily mean a corresponding increase in the number of users.

ADA needs to stay above $0.2887.

Although short-term technical indicators suggest weakness, cryptocurrency analyst Crypto Patel still holds positive views on ADA. He is focusing on the closing price of $0.2887 in the two-week chart, seeing it as a potential signal of a breakout.

If this condition is met, Patel predicts that the price will first reach $0.50, and then possibly rise to $1, $2, $3, and eventually $5. It’s important to note that these are just analysts’ projections, not actual price targets.

Two new developments in the Cardano ecosystem

Despite price pressures, development work within the Cardano ecosystem continues. The Cardano Foundation has introduced a new token standard for regulated assets, CIP-0113. This standard allows issuers to determine who can hold their tokens, and to freeze or confiscate assets if necessary.

Additionally, the Foundation’s digital identity project, Veridian, has become an independent Swiss company. The company has tokenized its shares on the Cardano network and plans to develop identity verification tools for businesses, public institutions, and artificial intelligence agents.

Cardano交易量创纪录的事实表明，网络活动在不同指标上并未呈现一致趋势。在ADA的短期走势中，0.24美元的支撑位、大型投资者的抛售行为以及每日活跃地址数的下滑将是密切关注的重点。

本内容基于一般市场数据，不构成投资建议。建议您进行独立研究。

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