LayerZero price rises to $2.48, facing multiple blocked areas

核心要点

ZRO 已进入 2.45-2.60 美元的多月阻力区间。

该区间的上沿曾三次遏制此前的反弹行情。

2.09-2.15 美元是上涨趋势下方的首个斐波那契支撑区域。

RSI 指标高于 75，显示动能强劲但已处于超买状态。

测试自五月以来未曾突破的阻力区间

ZRO 在日线图上触及约 2.48 美元后，回落至 2.44 美元附近。这使得价格进入了 2.45-2.60 美元的区间下沿，此前价格在此区域曾遭遇抛售压力。

ZRO 正逼近通道阻力位。

自九月中旬以来，ZRO 的短期结构有所改善。价格大致在一个上升通道内运行，每次有意义的回调低点均高于前一次。尽管在波动剧烈的交易中，部分影线曾穿透通道边界，但只要这种“更高低点”序列保持完整，整体方向仍维持向上态势。

从更广泛的图表视角来看，当前走势处于更为严峻的背景中。自 2025 年 5 月以来，ZRO 曾三次触及 2.58-2.60 美元区域，但每次均未能在该区域上方站稳。因此，买方将价格推回了熟悉的供应区，但尚未证明该区域能转化为支撑位。

关键价位与支撑分析

ZRO 再次面临多月阻力位。

图表来源：TradingView, ZRO/USD, 2026年10月12日

The support level shows how much downside room there is for the rally:

• Deep inside the range : If it can move further inside the range, it will be a positive development; but if the closing price breaks through the upper edge and then conducts a backtest, it will be a more convincing breakthrough signal.
• Fibonacci structure : If sellers take charge first, the Fibonacci structure points to areas where a September recovery may stabilize.

ZRO Price Map

• US$2.45 -2.60 : Current multi-month resistance range. If the closing price breaks through the upper edge, it will change the larger technical pattern.
• US$2.09 -2.15 : 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, which is also the first support band that needs to absorb selling pressure.
• US$1.85 -1.90 : 0.382 Fibonacci level, also the reaction area in early October. Holding that position will preserve the broader recovery pattern after a deeper correction.
• US$1.67 -1.70, followed by US$1.50 -1.52 : If selling intensifies further, it will be the 0.50 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone respectively.

Momentum supports gains, but volume still needs to be confirmed.

ZRO's price is well above its 50-day, 100-day and 200-day moving averages, which form a deep support cluster around US$1.10 -1.40. This alignment supports a medium-term recovery, but because these moving averages are too far away from current prices to determine whether this trend will continue in the next few trading days.

The daily RSI indicator is above 75 and remains above the smooth line. This reading reflects the strength of the rebound, but also suggests that prices have quickly entered a difficult area. In strong trends, the RSI can remain high, so the response to resistance is more weighted than the single indicator itself.

Trading activity increased during the recovery. However, the latest daily volume histogram is still under development, which means widespread participation in sustained breakthroughs cannot yet be confirmed. If the close is completed with solid volume at the top of the range, it will be heavier than the instantaneous push during the session.

Buybacks provide independent context for ZRO demand

Charts set immediate decisions, while LayerZero's token economics provides another perspective on long-term demand.
The LayerZero Foundation's repurchase dashboard shows that purchases funded by Stargate revenue are in progress, with a cumulative purchase of approximately 2.54 million ZROs, with a cumulative reported cost basis of approximately US$3.68 million.

The dashboard records that 162,433 ZROs were purchased in September. These purchases suggest that some of Stargate's revenue has been directed towards ZRO, but this does not explain why the token rose on a given day. Tokens unlocking and holder selling may still overwhelm repurchase demand, and LayerZero's separate agreement fee switch remains inactive.

LayerZero is also developing financial market infrastructure, including ATLAS. Previous analysis explored LayerZero's connection to Anchorage and the ATLAS plan, explaining how these products can expand network usage scenarios. Their impact on ZRO will depend on adoption rates and fee generation, rather than just product announcements.

The closing price will show the progress of the rally.

ZRO has reached the lower edge of the range that includes many previous gains. If we can continue to break through this range, it will provide a more solid foundation for the rebound; if we fall back and hold the first support band of US$2.09-US$2.15, the upward trend in September will remain. If this first support band is lost, the market's attention will turn to the deeper Fibonacci area.

This article is for reference only and does not constitute investment or trading advice. Technical indicators are only approximations and do not guarantee future price movements.