Balancer's market value fell below its supporting treasury
The market value of BAL has fallen below the treasury assets that support it. Holders destroy tokens in exchange for a direct share of treasury assets. Previously, operating expenses far exceeded agreed revenue. Although the v3 version of restart technology is logically impeccable, it fails to rebuild user trust.
On September 15, 2026, Marcus Hardt, a member of the Balancer Treasury Board and former CEO of Balancer Labs, submitted a governance proposal recommending closing the Balancer Agreement and returning at least $9 million of its remaining treasury to BAL holders. Holders will destroy the tokens they hold and receive a proportionate share of stablecoins and blue-chip cryptocurrencies controlled by the DAO. The key details behind the decision are obvious: the value of the treasury exceeds the sum of all BAL tokens in circulation on the market.
Snapshot voting will be held from September 25 to September 29, and everything will remain as it is until the proposal is passed.
$9 Million Treasury vs $7.6 Million Market Value
截至 9 月中旬,BAL 的流通市值约为 760 万美元,代币价格约为 0.11 美元。而其背后的国库资产(不含原生 BAL)至少为 900 万美元。这一差距构成了整个论点的核心。当代币交易价格低于其可主张的资产时,意味着市场将该运营业务的估值视为负数:它在烧钱的速度远快于赚钱的速度。这就好比一只基金的股价低于其账户内的现金:购买股份以提取现金,远比让管理者继续挥霍资金更为明智。
将国库除以流通中的代币数量,隐含的赎回价值约为每枚 BAL 0.13 美元,高于 0.11 美元的现货价格。这并非承诺,因为国库持有的是波动性资产,且直到 2027 年第一个窗口开放前无人能领取收益。但这确实确立了一个公开市场此前一直忽视的价格底线。
DAO 无法实现盈利的九年缓冲期
2025 年 10 月(漏洞发生前一个月),Balancer 获得的协议收入为 113 万美元。随后降至 11 月的 37.1 万美元,并持续下滑,至 2026 年 8 月降至 56,781 美元,部分指标甚至接近 30,000 美元。在此期间,每月运营成本始终维持在约 150,000 美元左右。
DAO 曾试图通过拖延来解决问题。2026 年第二季度提出的紧急提案 BIP-918 至 BIP-921 使员工人数减半,预算削减 34%,终止 BAL 排放,并将缓冲期从四年延长至九年。更长的缓冲期不等于盈利。一个每月花费 150,000 美元却仅赚取其中一小部分的协议,拥有的不是九年的生命力,而是九年的计划亏损,这些亏损由属于持有者的国库支付。
资金无法回流更深层的原因在于信任,而非代码。2025 年 11 月 3 日,攻击者在半小时内从跨多个链的 Balancer v2 池中盗取约 1.28 亿美元,利用了池子数学计算中的舍入误差,总锁定价值(TVL)从近 35 亿美元的峰值跌至极小比例。Balancer 的技术回应迅速,v3 在新架构下上线,AutoRange 池也随之推出,但这些都不是被攻破的系统。然而,用户依然选择离开。Hardt 承认团队低估了此次漏洞对品牌影响的持久性:尽管攻击针对的是遗留的 v2 系统,但“Balancer”的名字使其在随后的每一次讨论中都备受牵连。这些旧的 v2 合约随后仍产生了大部分缩水的收入,这意味着最后的费用主要来自被困在旧仓位中的用户,而非新选择 Balancer 的用户。
从漏洞到清算的时间线
- 2025 年 11 月 3 日:v2 池在半小时内被清空 1.28 亿美元。TVL 从 35 亿美元的峰值跌至数月后的约 2.14 亿美元。
- 2026 年 3 月 23 日: Balancer Labs 作为法律实体解散;剩余员工转入精简后的实体。
- 2026 年第二季度: 进入生存模式:BIP-918 至 BIP-921 减半员工,削减预算 34%,终止排放,将缓冲期延长至九年。
- 2026 年 8 月: 月收入触底至 56,781 美元,而燃烧成本约为 150,000 美元。
- 2026 年 9 月 15 日: 提交清算及国库分配提案;投票定于 9 月 25 日至 29 日。
销毁赎回取代上限为 35% 的回购
持有者此前已批准过其他方案。BIP-919 设立了一项上限为国库 35% 的回购计划,即在公开市场购买 BAL,而本次清算提案取消了该计划。受限的公开市场回购导致价值分配不均,利益流向卖家和套利者,在薄弱的市场中自我对抗,且仅触及部分国库。销毁赎回则反转了这一机制。每位销毁者都能按比例获得实际资产的份额,无滑点且无上限。这将 BAL 从一个拥有死用例的治理代币转变为对稳定币和蓝筹加密货币的直接索取权,因此它能设定基于“每代币国库价值”的底线,而不是取决于浅层订单簿在某天打印出的任意价格。
Freeze the pool on October 30, and unlock the cash in May 2027.
voted to determine the direction, rather than immediately switching the switch. If the proposal is passed, the liquidity provider will have until October 30, 2026 to prepare to withdraw. After that, eligible pools will only be limited to withdrawals, and the fees for pools that cannot be suspended will be reduced to zero. Withdrawal does not depend on whether Balancer is still operating. Starting November 1, a streamlined team will run a minimized portal with a budget of $400,000: approximately $150,000 for the first redemption,$30,000 each time thereafter, and a $220,000 reserve to be used only when necessary.
Capital flows have been slow since then. The first round of redemptions must wait until all veBAL lock-up periods have ended, pushing it to a six-month window in late May 2027, while an airdrop in January 2028 will clear the rest, but only for addresses destroyed in the first round. There are two exceptions: tetuBAL holders who cannot be converted back to BAL will receive an airdrop of half of the standard BAL equivalent to their positions, rather than destroyed; any funds recovered from the vulnerability will be quarantined and used specifically to compensate stolen liquidity providers rather than participating in this allocation.
Payouts Process Schedule
- October 30, 2026: Eligible pools are limited to withdrawals;LP exit deadline; the rate for non-suspended pools is set to 0%.
- November 1, 2026: Contributor framework disbanded; teams streamlined to run the minimized withdrawal portal.
- 2027 年 5 月: 一旦所有 veBAL 锁定期结束,开启第一轮;六个月的销毁赎回窗口。
- 2028 年 1 月: 第二轮空投,仅限第一轮参与者。
- 2028 年 7 月: 在法律实体关闭前,完成残余资产的最终清理。
终局:无需任何人的协议
Balancer 的最终状态是移交给任何人。提案剥夺了所有管理员权限、多重签名角色和紧急权力,直到协议变得不可变,用 Hardt 的话来说,就是“不再需要来自 Balancer 的人来运行”。这发生在更广泛的清理之中:据行业追踪数据显示,Balancer 是 2026 年前七个月停止运营的 100 多个加密项目之一,其中 DeFi 项目占一半以上。大多数项目只是悄然消失。
CoinEx 在同一天宣布关闭,一家偿付能力正常的企业选择关闭而非慢慢耗尽自己。Balancer 正在发布一份带有日期且可审计的清算报告,以接近净值的资产返还持有人。这种模板,而非关闭本身,将是下一个失败的 DAO 在其国库开始超越收入时所模仿的对象。

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