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Dogecoin fell below the 100-day moving average, or further tested the US$0.069 support level

2026-09-03 00:15:16
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Technical weakness threatens bullish momentum

Dogecoin lost a key technical support level, trading at US$0.0808, failing to maintain the gains it rebounded in August. The meme-inspired cryptocurrency fell below the 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) of $0.0816, a level that has played a decisive role in dogcoin price fluctuations since May. In early August, DOGE surged from around $0.07 to above $0.094, briefly testing the 200-day EMA at $0.0944. However, buyers failed to maintain momentum on this long-term moving average and prices quickly reversed. A series of lower highs subsequently formed brought Dogecoin back to near the 100th EMA, where it struggled to hold on to support. The recent fall below US$0.0816 has invalidated a strong support point for Dogecoin's recovery in August. Currently, the token hovers around the short-term moving average of $0.0805, and the support range narrows to between $0.080 and $0.082. Technical analysts warned that once the daily close clearly breaks below this dense area, it could open the door for further declines to the 50-day EMA, currently close to $0.0752. After that, the next major downside target lies in the previous consolidation range, roughly between US$0.069 and US$0.072.

Kinetic energy weakens, RSI cools down

After the breakthrough failed, the momentum of dogcoin also weakened. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) briefly entered severely overbought territory during its rebound in early August and has now fallen back to around 51. This does not mean oversold, but rather that the bullish energy from the initial rally has largely dissipated. If DOGE cannot quickly recover the 100-day EMA, technical analysts believe its recovery prospects will remain limited. Reestablishing yourself above $0.082 will help stabilize the structure and shift the focus to the next resistance range,$0.085 to $0.090. Until this level is recovered, downside risks are expected to dominate price movements.

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failed to hold the 100-day EMA, nullifying a key factor in the August rebound and casting a shadow on Dogecoin's recovery view. Unless prices quickly recover $0.082, a further correction to near midsummer lows is increasingly likely.

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