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Following
SHIB SHIB spot trading volume surged, but prices remained range-bound.
SHIB has had one of its most active trading days since September 23. Despite the sharp rise in spot trading volumes, their prices remain within the familiar consolidation range. On Friday, the SHIB closed at US$0.005728 per 1000 tokens, after a busy trading session with spot trading volume reaching US$10.07 million.
There was significant volume in trading on Friday
During the period from 10:00 to 11:00 Coordinated Universal Time (UTC), US$2.85 million of SHIB changed hands on the Binance spot market. During this hour, the price of the SHIB perpetual contract fell from 0.005931 to 0.005900, a decrease of 0.5%. Trading volume in this hour accounted for 28% of the total spot volume on Friday. As of the day's close, full-day trading activity reached $10.07 million, more than double the 30-day median ($4.7 million). In the past month, only September 21, 22 and 23 saw trading volumes above this level.
SHIB price tags are sometimes confusing due to different quotation practices. For example, at 08:00 UTC on Saturday, the SHIB price on the Binance spot market is approximately US$0.0000567, while the 1000SHIBUSDT perpetual contract shows the price of the same number of tokens at 0.00567.
Noun explanation: Perpetual contracts are derivatives that allow traders to speculate on asset price fluctuations without setting an expiration date. Perpetual contracts are widely used for hedging and leveraged trading on cryptocurrency exchanges.
Comparison with the previous day and price trend
周四的交易活动明显低迷，现货交易量仅为360万美元，低于月度中位数。而周五的交易量激增，几乎是周四总量的三倍。尽管兴趣增加的原因尚不明确，但这显然改变了市场活跃度。
周五的交易过程中出现了波动。SHIB开盘价为0.005791，盘中最高触及0.005980，最低跌至0.005523，最终收于0.005728。日内价格从峰值到谷值的振幅达8.3%，但相对于开盘价仅小幅下跌1.1%。周五成为SHIB数周以来最繁忙的一天，尽管日内波动超过8%，但收盘价仅微跌。
关键支撑位稳固，无视成交量与波动率
交易日后期出现了一波急剧下跌。在UTC时间18:00的小时内，SHIB从0.005798跌至0.005577，跌幅为3.8%，交易量达95万美元。这远低于早些时候放量时的交易活跃度。
小时低点0.005523几乎触及了9月23日设定的底部，这是一个许多交易者倾向于放置止损订单的技术区域。在最后一个小时，SHIB反弹至0.005728，较日内低点高出3.7%。此类日内走势被交易者称为“扫损”（Sweeps），即价格短暂跌破前期支撑位后迅速反弹至其上方。
未平仓合约随日内情绪波动
币安上SHIB永续合约的未平仓合约数跟随波动而变化。从UTC时间04:00的2849万美元开始，中午时分达到3163万美元的峰值，涨幅为11%，随后在20:00 UTC回落至2818万美元。
截至周六上午，合约账户中有60.7%持有头寸做多，顶级交易者的多头敞口比例甚至更高，达到66.1%。资金费率在连续周期中保持在0.01%的稳定水平。
关键点位与潜在突破情景
SHIB价格保持在狭窄区间内，自9月24日以来的所有四小时收盘价均介于0.005492至0.006000之间。周五交易量的增加并未打破这一整理形态。
若要向上突破，需要四小时收盘价站稳0.006000上方，目标将指向0.006075和0.006276，这两个价位分别对应9月26日和22日的高点。反之，若四小时收盘价跌破0.005492（周二低点），则可能打开向0.005455乃至0.004987（9月11日低点）下跌的空间。任何对上述走势的反转都可能迅速使任一方向的突破失效。
SHIB的整理区间持续有效，交易者正在等待突破关键边界以决定下一个趋势。截至周六的报告，SHIB较20日高点下跌9.7%，但仍高于10日低点3.2%。除非价格在0.005492至0.006000的当前箱体之外收盘，否则技术面 sentiment 可能保持不变。
