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BTC 21Shares Analysts: Bitcoin's $100,000 target may recur in the fourth quarter of 2026
Matt Mena, an analyst at digital asset investment firm 21Shares, believes that Bitcoin (BTC)'s $100,000 target may regain market focus in the fourth quarter of 2026. According to Mena's analysis, the current market environment is creating more favorable conditions for Bitcoin to regain its upward momentum. However, he also warned investors that price fluctuations may continue in the short term.
Short-term trend: The key game between US$75,000 and US$80,000
In the short-term outlook, Bitcoin is more likely to test the US$75,000 support level. If the US$80,000 mark can then be regained, it will significantly enhance the market's rising expectations.
Why is the $75,000 level important?
Mena pointed out in its short-term assessment that US$75,000 is a key observation point. Bitcoin's correction to this region does not mean a complete end to rising expectations. Conversely, analysts believe that after such a correction, the probability that Bitcoin will break through $80,000 again may increase. Therefore, investors should not only focus on the extent of price declines, but should also pay close attention to price behavior at key support levels.
Trends near US$75,000 will provide important clues to the market's short-term direction. In particular, if this area is effectively guarded, it will be seen as a positive signal that Bitcoin is trying to make a higher price.
Potential path after exceeding US$80,000
In Mena's forecast scenario, regaining the $80,000 mark is an important milestone. If Bitcoin can consolidate its strength above that level, the possibility of hitting $82,000 before the end of the month will surface.
Achieving the US$82,000 target will help strengthen the overall market momentum before the start of the fourth quarter. This move will not only boost investors 'bullish confidence, but may also stimulate market interest in a higher price range. However, reaching $82,000 is not the same as automatically achieving the $100,000 goal. Due to the high volatility of the cryptocurrency market, actual price movements may differ significantly from analysts 'forecasts.
The path to US$100,000 is explained
Mena's proposed US$100,000 target for the fourth quarter requires Bitcoin to achieve a significant increase from its current level. Therefore, the reaction of prices around $75,000 and performance above $80,000 in the coming weeks will be particularly critical.
Analysts 'expectations are not based on a single sharp price jump, but on a gradual recovery. First, US$75,000 needs to play a supporting role; second, break through US$80,000; and finally, test the US$82,000 area. Only by gradually crossing these barriers can it be possible to lay a solid foundation for Bitcoin to launch a new rally of US$100,000 in the fourth quarter. It should be noted that this is not a definite price forecast, but a professional expectation based on existing data.
Persistent risk of market fluctuations
21Shares analyst Matt Mena's view shows that Bitcoin is currently facing a situation where short-term adjustments coexist with medium-term bullish expectations. Therefore, while investors focus on target prices, they should also track the behavioral characteristics of prices at key levels.
Although Bitcoin's rise to US$82,000 before the end of the month helped support market sentiment in the fourth quarter, the high volatility of the crypto market means actual movements may not match expectations. Overall, Mena believes that current conditions are gradually becoming more favorable for Bitcoin to move towards its target of $100,000 in the fourth quarter of 2026.
Disclaimer : This content does not constitute any investment advice. Markets contain high risks, so please conduct independent research before making investment decisions.
