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BTC 比特币突破8.5万美元，中东局势升级前的宁静？
在经历周五美国经济新闻引发的市场高波动后，比特币价格在周末小幅攀升，目前站稳于8.5万美元上方。然而，这种走势让人不禁联想到一种熟悉的“陷阱”。历史经验表明，在中东地区出现重大新动向的动荡周末之后，周一早晨的市场波动往往会加剧。
新的紧张局势
据报道，上周五，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的高级国家安全官员在戴维营举行了持续数小时的会议，重点讨论了针对伊朗的战争问题。此次会议被描述为一次“极不寻常”且未由官方宣布的会晤。一名官员声称，“决定已经做出。”会议由副总统J.D.万斯主持，其他与会者包括中央情报局局长拉特克利夫和参联会主席凯恩将军。
上一次类似的会议发生在2025年6月，即以色列攻击伊朗前的几天。当被问及此次会议的含义以及美国可能的下一步行动时，总统表示：“如果我告诉你，那将是一个重大新闻。但你会看到的。”
随后，《霍尔木兹海峡信报》补充称，伊朗正在“准备应对一场比上次更大规模的美国轰炸行动”。一位高级官员警告称，无论是来自空中还是地面的任何新攻击，都将被视为“全面战争”，并遭到“最猛烈”的回击。
Recently, the United States has sent nearly 10,000 troops (including 2000 Marines) to the Middle East to deploy on its third aircraft carrier and amphibious landing formation. The force is expected to arrive in November, while midterm elections are scheduled for November 3. Trump has previously said that a new wave of attacks may emerge after the midterm elections.
In addition, Yemen's Houthi armed forces used ballistic missiles to attack the Saudi Aramco facility in Riyadh for the first time in more than four years.
Calm before the storm?
All of the above events occurred in the past approximately 36 hours. During this period, bitcoin prices remained relatively stable and rose slightly to above $85,000. However, historical data shows that cryptocurrencies often feel the actual impact of the escalation on Monday morning.
The most recent example came last week: Bitcoin prices remained unchanged when news broke that the president had rejected Iran's peace agreement proposal on Saturday; but when traditional markets opened on Monday morning, Bitcoin plunged $2000.
