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XRP XRP价格在1.40美元附近震荡，鲸鱼大规模撤离币安创七个月新高
尽管大型持有者将创纪录数量的XRP资产撤出币安（Binance），XRP价格仍大幅下跌至1.40美元。数据显示，过去30天内XRP鲸鱼账户的流出总量达到13.8亿枚代币，创下七个月来的最高水平。与此同时，衍生品市场的动向表明下行压力持续存在，而新的技术信号则暗示可能出现短期反弹。
鲸鱼流出量创七个月新高
CryptoQuant数据显示，从币安撤出的XRP鲸鱼持仓量约为13.8亿枚代币。根据该数据，这是过去七个月内记录到的30天 withdrawal 总额的最高值。这一动向标志着大型XRP持有者在管理交易所托管资产方面发生了重大转变。
通常情况下，当大型持有者不再需要即时交易权限时，会将资产从交易所转出。因此，币安上可用于立即抛售的XRP代币数量可能会减少。然而，这些提币操作也可能涉及转移至冷钱包、其他交易所或独立的地址。
值得注意的是，这13.8亿的数值衡量的是提币行为，而非币安储备金的直接减少。交易所流出量计算的是已转移的代币数量，而净流量还需扣除同期内的存入量。因此，该数据并不能证实币安的总储备金减少了13.8亿枚XRP。
抛压加剧下XRP价格持稳于1.40美元附近
As the overall cryptocurrency market weakened, XRP prices fell approximately 3.3% to $1.40. This price trend is in sharp contrast to the rising whale withdrawals. At the same time, derivatives activity showed traders were still taking large positions during the decline.
Open interest in XRP perpetual contracts increased by approximately 50 million tokens to 2.37 billion XRP. At the same time, the long-short ratio fell to 0.92, indicating an increase in bearish positions in the derivatives market. This combination suggests increased futures activity, while token trading is facing a new round of downward pressure.
This price fluctuation follows the previous period when XRP was trading around US$1.50. After recent exchange-traded funds (ETFs) inflows, XRP also fell from $1.52 to $1.46 (October 7). At present, the market has not yet transformed these demand signals into sustained price increases.
Technical indicators hint short-term recovery prospects
Cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez identified a new four-hour TD Sequential buy signal for XRP. This indicator can highlight potential trend failure after a sustained selling period. Therefore, if buying activity strengthens, this signal increases the likelihood of a short-term rebound.
This signal came at the time of the strongest withdrawal of whales from Binance. However, leaving the exchange does not necessarily mean a future price increase. Large holders may transfer XRP to replace custody services, internally managed wallets, or transactions involving other platforms.
XRP market demand measured through compliant investment products is also reflected in the flow of ETF funds. On October 6, the U.S. XRP ETF recorded a net inflow of US$3.14 million, of which Bitwise attracted US$10.55 million. However, redemptions from other issuers weakened the overall impact, making XRP more vulnerable to a broader market sell-off.
Recent activity presents a complex picture for XRP: while whale withdrawals rise, price weakness returns. Exchange outflows may reduce immediately available supply, while futures positions continue to reflect stronger bearish pressure. At the same time, the TD Sequential signal provides the basis for XRP to achieve a short-term technical recovery around $1.40.
