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Bitcoin price forecast warns: may fall to $60,000 before recovery

2026-07-09 12:51:04

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Bitcoin is under pressure below US$62,000, and geopolitical tensions weaken overall market sentiment.

Ali Martinez pointed out that US$49,867 is the key long-term Bitcoin accumulation level. Despite the volatile market, the spot Bitcoin ETF still recorded a net inflow of US$21.4 million.

Bitcoin Price Forecast: Geophysical tensions continue to weigh on market sentiment, and BTC remains limited by the key MVRV valuation band.

As of press time, Bitcoin trading prices were US$61,919.98, down 2.87% in the past 24 hours. Analyst Ali Martinez said current Bitcoin price forecasts lack a clear valuation advantage, and the-1.0 MVRV pricing band (approximately $49,867) represents a stronger long-term accumulation level.

According to the MVRV pricing band indicator, Bitcoin is currently in a \"no man\'s land.\" Prices currently trade within the-0.5 and-1.0 MVRV range, and current levels lack a clear valuation advantage. The key price point analysts are waiting for is the-1.0 MVRV pricing band, which currently stands at approximately $49,867.

Meanwhile, growing tensions between the United States and Iran prompted investors to stay away from risky assets, causing Bitcoin to fall below $62,000, triggering a massive liquidation.

Bitcoin price forecast: US$62,000 support is under pressure

As Bitcoin failed to hold the US$62,000 level, the current Bitcoin price forecast remains cautious. In the past 24 hours, more than $76.85 million in BTC derivatives positions have been liquidated, with long traders losing $65.01 million.

部分分析师认为，日线收盘价低于6.2万美元可能增加下探6万美元的可能性，而进一步抛售可能暴露6.05万美元附近的支撑位。油价上涨和地缘政治不确定性持续抑制风险敏感资产的需求，给BTC价格带来额外压力。

比特币价格预测：ETF需求与MVRV数据提供支撑

尽管市场疲软，机构投资者仍在持续增加敞口。根据SoSoValue数据，美国现货比特币ETF在7月7日录得2143.5万美元净流入，将正向流入延续至连续三个交易日。现货以太坊ETF也录得2692.5万美元净流入。

阿里·马丁内斯指出，比特币仍处于-0.5和-1.0 MVRV定价带之间，未提供明确的方向信号。但他表示，根据历史MVRV表现，跌至49,867美元将代表一次重大的积累机会。

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