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The last major hurdle facing Ethereum: Can $2800 be broken?

2026-09-27 18:45:29

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以太坊在2800美元区域遭遇抛售

以太坊在2800美元区域再次面临抛售压力。自八月开始的上涨趋势在九月加速，ETH重新站稳200日均线，并强化了其在更高时间周期内的看涨前景。然而，分析师认为，若不突破2800美元大关，讨论3000美元及以上区域的反弹难度较大。

以太坊为何在2800美元受阻？

以太坊上周曾一度上涨至2800美元区域，但未能在此位置稳固立足。加密交易员Daan Crypto Trades指出，若ETH能以周线收盘形式站上200日均线和EMA（指数移动平均线），将被视为重要的技术面转折信号。

尽管如此，2800美元仍是一个强劲的技术阻力位。Daan Crypto Trades强调，在过去两年中，该区域多次扮演支撑与阻力的双重角色。据其分析，一旦有效突破此价位，ETH可能获得更广阔的空间，向3000至4000美元区间迈进。

分析师Michaël van de Poppe也对以太坊的整体结构持乐观态度。他认为，新一轮向上突破已仅是时间问题。

以太坊杠杆仓位现状如何？

以太坊的价格波动也伴随着衍生品市场头寸的变化。根据分析师CW的数据，高杠杆多头持仓总额约为21亿美元，而空头持仓总额则降至约40亿美元。此前积累的大量高杠杆头寸已在之前的市场波动中被清算。

This deleveraging process allows ETH to launch new price movements with a lower leverage burden. CW pointed out that a significant reduction in open interest levels could make prices more sensitive to sharp fluctuations.

Has the selling pressure on Ethereum decreased?

Trader Merlijn The Trader also maintained a positive view on Ethereum. He noticed that the withdrawal queue for network validators was emptying.

Merlijn said that most of the mandatory selling pressure formed during the previous decline has been absorbed. In addition, compared with its low in July, Ethereum prices have rebounded by about 80%, which is also one of the important data it pays attention to. He interpreted this situation as: In the current cycle, Ethereum may be undervalued or ignored by the market.

Can ETH reach US$3000?

The main level facing Ethereum is still US$2800. If prices can effectively break through and stand above resistance when testing this level again, the $3000 target that analysts are focusing on will be more realistic.

The key change at present is that ETH no longer has the technical structure of the previous decline. The recovery of the 200-day moving average and the cleansing of highly leveraged positions indicate that the basis of this round of gains has undergone a fundamental change.

However, the first attempt to exceed US$2800 was rejected, indicating that the seller still has strong strength in the region. Whether ETH can successfully break through this position will directly determine the distance of the US$3000 target.

This content is based on general market data and does not constitute investment advice. Readers are advised to conduct independent research.

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