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Garinhaus clarifies 179 XRP claim, trillion-dollar valuation dispute intensifies

2026-09-11 16:26:06
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Clarification and Market Analysis on XRP Price Forecast

Recently, it has been said that Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse predicted that XRP would reach US$179.50 per piece, which has caused widespread controversy in the XRP community. An analysis of existing records and statements found that Galinhaus did not formally propose a specific price target for this level. This number is mainly circulated in community discussions and often stems from calculations that correlate potential digital asset settlements with the market value of XRP.

Galinghaus's view and the "$10 trillion" scenario

The logical basis for pricing XRP at $179.50 is: if the market value reaches $10 trillion, divide it by the amount of circulation to get the price of the token. That would represent a sharp rise from current valuations, placing XRP among the world's most valuable assets. Community interpretations often link Garlinghouse's macro discourse on blockchain-based financial infrastructure and cross-border settlement to the potential market value of XRP. Observers, however, stressed the need to distinguish between the total value flowing through the digital asset network and the stand-alone market value of XRP. [TAG

While the $10 trillion market cap does correspond to an XRP unit price of about $179.50, community members point out that this is a theoretical calculation and not Garlinghouse's official prediction. The background for the discussion included calls for favorable crypto regulation, growing institutional interest and increased adoption of tokenized payment solutions, themes that Garinhaus has often advocated in the digital asset market.

XRP as a bridge to global payments

Galinghouse has long emphasized the role of blockchain in accelerating cross-border payments and reducing costs, frequently describing XRP as a bridging asset for these transactions. In Ripple's high-profile partnerships, such as its partnership with MoneyGram, the company positioned XRP to enable instant foreign exchange settlement, aiming to reduce reliance on pre-funded accounts. Garlinhaus described the technology as allowing money to flow "as fast as information."

Proponents believe that achieving a higher valuation of XRP relies on continued practicality, real-world demand and liquidity, rather than market speculation. This ambition is further highlighted by the latest announcements of projects on XRP Ledger, with one campaign estimating the potential reach market for a new decentralized network as high as $38.5 trillion. However, this is a prediction of possible opportunities rather than a statement of the current market value of XRP.

Terms explanation:

  • XRP Ledger (XRPL): A decentralized open-source blockchain developed by Ripple promotes fast and low-cost cross-border payments and supports tokenization and decentralized applications.

Traditional financial system under review

Galinghaus recently cited the case of gold transfers from De Nederlandsche Bank to illustrate the slow and costly nature of legacy financial infrastructure. The Dutch central bank reported transporting about 86 tons of gold from warehouses in New York and Ottawa to London, involving physical transfers and inter-market transactions.

Garlinhouse used the incident to illustrate that traditional settlement processes lag behind advances in digital asset technology, which he believes can transfer value more efficiently and cheaply. These views echo Ripple's positioning of XRP as a fast cross-border financial transfer solution.

BIS pilot highlights the technical use of XRP Ledger

The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) recently released a working paper demonstrating a proof of concept on XRP Ledger, adding momentum to the technology's future prospects. The initiative involves anchoring the cryptographic fingerprint of official statistics on the chain to ensure the verifiable authenticity and immutability of reports.

BIS pointed out in its summary that release and verification times are only a few seconds and on-chain processing costs are extremely low. The organization clarified that while the trial demonstrated the technical capabilities of XRPL, it was not a price forecast for XRP and did not formally establish its use as a global settlement tool.

Explanation of terms:

  • Bank for International Settlements (BIS): An international financial organization owned by a central bank that supports global monetary and financial cooperation and typically conducts research and technological experimentation for the global financial system.

XRP Price Trend and Technical Signals

Market analyst ChartNerd is concerned that XRP is currently below the lower track of the weekly Gaussian channel-a rare situation that sometimes foreshadows major market phase shifts in XRP's historical price movements. Analysts have proposed two possible short-term outcomes: either a retest of the channel's upper trajectory later in 2026, or a further decline before entering the bullish phase in 2027.

Technical patterns in XRP price history provide background but lack certainty, indicating that a long consolidation period may occur before any major gains. Historical analysis highlights the limitations of relying solely on models, as changing market conditions can change liquidity and investor behavior.

Valuation Mathematics and Adoption Challenges

To reach a market value of US$10 trillion, XRP needs to achieve large-scale adoption, high liquidity, and large new capital inflows. Practicality and regulatory clarity in the areas of payments, settlements, and tokenization will be necessary to support such valuations. The oft-cited calculation method of dividing $10 trillion by the amount of supply in circulation to get $179.50, industry experts emphasize that this is just a mathematical extrapolation rather than an official forecast. The key market question is whether this scenario is feasible given current adoption rates and regulatory environment.

Ripple and the prospects for XRPL

Ripple, as a technology company focused on cross-border payments, continues to advocate for the adoption of its blockchain-based solutions. Its previous deployments and recent BIS-led trials have strengthened the technical feasibility of using XRP Ledger for fast transaction settlement.

However, there is no independently verified evidence that Garlinhouse has provided a forecast for XRP alone's $10 trillion market value or $179.50 price. Analysts and industry observers believe that regulatory progress, institutional experimentation and real-world use are more important than theoretical valuations in shaping the future trajectory of tokens.

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