XRP price forecast: Can bulls ignore selling pressure and break through $1.45?

Key insights

XRP price forecast depends on confirmation of a breakthrough of US$1.45

Binance CVD (cumulative volume spread) remains negative after improving price-flow correlation.

The outflow of funds from XRP ETF ended the inflow trend of 11 consecutive trading days.

XRP traded around $1.36 after recovering from a 24-hour low around $1.31 on September 3. The XRP price forecast remains closely related to the breakthrough of the US$1.45 resistance level as Binance selling pressure continues.

This pattern is important because XRP has fallen back from its peak in late August. CoinGecko data showed that the token hit $1.52 on August 23 and then slipped into the mid-range of $1.30.

XRP Price Forecast: Track the rebound from $1.31

CoinGecko data shows that XRP prices have risen 3.2% in 24 hours, but have still fallen 5% in the past week. Trading volume was approximately US$2.43 billion, and the market value remained at around US$85.6 billion.

Binance processed approximately US$163.3 million in XRP/USDT transaction volume during the statistical period, with the exchange accounting for approximately 5.6% of the tracking XRP transaction volume.

The rebound came after several consecutive trading days of weakening after gains in August. CoinGecko showed that single-day trading volume exceeded $11.3 billion on August 23, before shrinking sharply during the price correction, indicating weakening market participation after the rally.

XRP prices closed around $1.45 on August 27 and fell to $1.38 on August 31. This sequence suggests that sellers 'breakthrough above the area in late August suppressed subsequent upside.

The recent 24-hour range ranged between $1.31 and $1.38 further strengthens the structure. Prices remain below the resistance area that previously attracted large volumes of transactions.

XRP price forecast faces $1.45 resistance test

Trader CW pointed out in a September 3 X platform post that $1.45 is the main resistance line and placed the current control point (POC) around $1.337.

CW describes this level as strong support, and its analysis believes that breaking through resistance will turn XRP's current technical trend bullish. This level is consistent with recent market history-XRP traded around the region multiple times in the last week of August.

CoinGecko records show that between August 24 and 27, XRP closed roughly between US$1.42 and US$1.48, a dense area that made US$1.45 the actual decision point. The downside structure is also clearly visible: XRP has hit a low of around $1.31 in the past 24 hours. A break below the $1.337 area would weaken the rally and reopen lower levels from earlier August.

Binance order flow still shows selling pressure

CryptoQuant data provides a less optimistic signal from Binance order flow. Analyst Arab Chain placed XRP's 30-day price-CVD correlation at around 0.43.

This reading shows a moderately positive correlation between price and cumulative volume spread, but the cumulative volume spread itself is still close to minus 8 million. This suggests that the active sell orders in Binhang still exceed the active buy orders-CryptoQuant defines a negative and declining active transaction CVD as the sell-led stage. This divergence left the rally lacking complete confirmation of order flow: prices had stabilized, but the underlying active transaction balance remained negative. If CVD turns positive, it will provide stronger evidence of a return to active demand; continued negative values will weaken confirmation signals for subsequent increases.

XRP price forecasts also focus on ETF demand.

SoValue data showed that U.S. listed spot XRP exchange-traded funds recorded a net outflow of US$7.2 million on Wednesday, ending the previous inflow of approximately US$170 million for 11 consecutive trading days. After this round of inflows, the cumulative net inflow of XRP ETF is close to US$1.68 billion. A negative value in a single day does not establish a sustained outflow trend, but previously ETF traffic provided the market with continued spot-related demand.

Despite the weakening of short-term traffic, the XRP ecosystem remains active. Ripple announced its investment in ZILO and Licuido on August 3 and said the investment expands regulated transfer agencies and tokenization infrastructure associated with XRP ledgers. In addition, Aviva Investors launched the tokenized U.S. dollar liquidity fund share category on the XRP ledger in July. These dynamics provide long-term network context rather than direct price triggers. Institutional activity on XRP ledgers continues, while token market demand weakens.

The short-term direction will still depend on market structure, exchange order flow, and fund demand in key venues and U.S. products. The pivot point for XRP's next price forecast remains the battle between resistance at $1.45 and support at around $1.337. Confirming a breakthrough will improve the technical structure; if failure at resistance levels and CVD remains negative, selling pressure will remain active.