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ETH 美联储加息后以太坊走势分析
9月16日，美联储将利率上调25个基点，联邦基金利率区间调整至3.75%至4.00%。受此影响，以太坊（Ethereum）价格交投于2,440美元附近。自8月下旬以来，以太坊价格一直维持在2,350美元至2,600美元的整理区间内。
美联储决议与市场反应
美联储主席凯文·沃什（Kevin Warsh）表示，美国经济依然强劲，而金融条件尚未出现明显的限制性迹象。他指出，如果通胀压力持续存在，可能会考虑进一步加息。
在比特币因宣布消息而出现更大波动、测试75,000美元附近支撑位的同时，以太坊的价格图表呈现出更为平稳的前景。日线相对强弱指数（RSI）维持在54左右，表明市场动能中性，既未超卖也未超买。与比特币相比，以太坊在最近几个交易时段的价格表现更为稳定，尽管全球宏观经济局势动荡，但仍为交易者提供了一个相对平静的市场环境。
在美联储9月加息后，以太坊继续在其既定价格区间内运行，而比特币则反应更为剧烈，测试了更低的支撑水平。
以太坊ETF：资金流出与比特币对比
现货以太坊交易所交易基金（ETF）在9月16日录得了2.2411亿美元的净赎回，此前一个交易日也出现了1.4147亿美元的资金流出。从9月8日至9月16日的七个交易日内，总净流出额为4,745万美元，这反映了期间既有强劲的资金流入，也有后期的适度赎回。
相比之下，在同一时期，比特币ETF的净赎回额约为10.5亿美元，凸显出机构投资者撤出比特币相关基金的规模远大于以太坊相关产品。
交易所储备与稳定币流动性变化
链上数据显示，以太坊在交易所内的储备量持续下降。CryptoQuant数据显示，ETH的交易所储备量从2025年初的2,100多万枚减少至2026年9月的约1,460万枚。这一降幅表明交易平台上的供应正在收紧。
DeFiLlama的数据指出，以太坊仍然是所有Layer-1区块链中稳定币流动性的最大基础，占据了全球3,000亿美元稳定币市场的约一半。网络活动的增加与稳定币流入近期的逆转有关，此前几个月曾出现过稳定的流出趋势。
Token Terminal's statistical report shows that in the second quarter of 2026, Ethereum processed more than 203 million transactions, a year-on-year increase of 68.4%. In the continuing third quarter, the value of ETH has increased by 52%.
Analyst Leon Waidmann pointed out that as the stablecoin market rebounds, liquidity is returning to Ethereum. USDT still dominates Ethereum-based stablecoins with a market share of 49.6%, while USDC's share has climbed to 31.8%. The gap between the two has narrowed from 34.2 percentage points in November 2024 to 17.8 percentage points in September 2026.
Since November 2024, USDT supply on Ethereum has increased by 22%, while USDC supply has increased by 83%. However, during 2026, USDT supply fell by 15.5%, while USDC fell by only 2.9%.
Technical Analysis and Summary
Mini Dictionary: DeFiLlama -A data aggregator focusing on decentralized financial indicators, covering network activity, locked total value, and stablecoin flows across various protocols and networks.
ETH's exchange reserves have fallen significantly over the past year, leading to a tightening of available supply on trading platforms, which may make it more sensitive to further changes in demand.
技术分析显示，若以太坊要突破当前的震荡区间，日线收盘价需站稳2,500美元上方；而2,350美元则是交易者需要关注的主要支撑位。
