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Following
ADA Cardano ADA token rebounded nearly 7% to US$0.256, but shrinking trading volume raised concerns
On October 10, Cardano (ADA) token rose nearly 7% to trade at close to US$0.256, a strong rebound that attracted traders 'attention. Despite the gains, the ADA's rise came against the backdrop of weakening overall market activity and a difficult start to the beginning of the month. Recent price movements mark an attempt to recover from one of the largest proof-of-stake (PoS) blockchains by market value, although analysts warn that further confirmation is still needed to establish a clear trend reversal.
Volume and price divergence: Key support levels become focus
ADA successfully regained its 30-day moving average of $0.2353 and broke through the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of $0.2359. However, trading volume fell by 34.86%, indicating low market participation compared to previous periods. While these technical milestones provide some short-term stability for ADA, analysts note that insufficient trading activity may challenge the sustainability of breakthroughs.
Currently, the main support area for ADA is between US$0.2359 and US$0.2276. Analysts said if prices fall below that range, it will invalidate the rally. If the ADA can continue above those levels, it will pave the way for another test of weekly resistance at around $0.2762. In order to maintain upward momentum, ADA needs to achieve a daily close above $0.256 to consolidate a more resilient recovery. If this is not achieved, there is a risk of a false breakthrough and a new round of downward pressure may be faced.
成交量趋势仍然是关键因素。近期交易量的急剧下降发出了谨慎信号，投资者对反弹能否持续产生怀疑。山寨币季节指数（Altcoin Season Index）小幅上涨5.17%至61，表明需求向替代性代币转移，但这并不能保证资金会持续流入ADA。
随着比特币稳定在82,800美元附近，且现货比特币ETF在两天内录得7.29亿美元的流出，另类加密货币的风险偏好保持波动。分析师观察到，与比特币相关资产的持续抛售可能会破坏ADA新建立的支撑带，进一步增加下行风险。
尽管ADA收复了重要的技术关卡，但较低的成交量和广泛的市场压力使近期的反弹显得脆弱，尚需更多确认才能形成持久的反转。
CIP-0113上线后链上活动激增，但价格表现背离
链上数据提供商Santiment报告称，Cardano的日活跃地址数在10月7日飙升至约27,500个，10月8日为27,200个。这标志着相比9月工作日的平均水平大幅增加了约1.7倍。这一激增与CIP-0113在主网的推出同步，这是一项技术标准，旨在为Cardano区块链上的代币发行者启用高级功能。
CIP-0113允许发行者创建具有特定规则的可编程代币，例如实施“了解你的客户”（KYC）检查和转账限制。Cardano基金会将这些功能描述为原生代币的新标准，且无需进行协议硬分叉即可集成。
迷你词典：CIP-0113（Cardano改进提案0113）是一项标准，赋予Cardano上的代币发行者控制资产行为的能力，允许选择性地整合监管功能，如KYC、制裁筛查和选择性转账权限——所有这些均无需进行协议级别的更改或硬分叉。
尽管网络活动增加，但ADA价格在10月6日至10月8日期间下跌了约13%，显示出使用量与价格表现之间的脱节。分析师指出，较高的活跃地址数量衡量的是区块链参与度，但并不一定转化为即时的投资需求或价格上涨。他们还报道，在此期间，比特币和以太坊的地址并未出现 comparable 的增长。
The price rebound that occurred on October 10 followed a jump in online activity and a fall in prices, making it difficult to directly link the rebound to feature upgrades. Analysts stressed the need to ensure continued activity and evidence of tying address growth to actual ADA demand before attributing price increases to agreement improvements.
The surge in the number of active addresses after the release of CIP-0113 failed to trigger an immediate rebound from the ADA, highlighting the complex relationship between blockchain upgrades and market sentiment.
Analyst outlining Key ADA Price Targets and Conditions
Cryptocurrency analyst Giannis Andreou determined that the ADA's initial support is between US$0.22 and US$0.25, with resistance in the US$0.30 to US$0.35 range. Andreou said breaking these thresholds could strengthen prospects for a durable recovery, with higher resistance bands at $0.40 - 0.45 and $0.55 - 0.65 respectively. However, he warned that reaching the oft-discussed $0.90 target would depend on the ADA being able to clear each resistance zone in turn.
If there is a sustained decline below the basic support level of US$0.22, any bullish scenarios will be damaged and the target of US$0.90 will be out of reach in the short term. The analyst's views reflect the need for continued momentum, which requires the support of technological progress and network fundamentals to push ADA further upward.
