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Following
XRP A MACD histogram changes the outlook for XRP
Cryptocurrency analyst Steph Is Crypto pointed out that a signal that appeared before the past two sharp rallies is now taking shape again.
XRP\'s MACD signal
Steph paid attention to XRP\'s monthly MACD indicator. After 7 to 8 red bars appeared in a row, the indicator just showed its first white bar. He said that this precise sequence had occurred in 2018-the month XRP price rose almost 130%. In February 2019, a second white bar appeared, marking the previous low point where XRP rose nearly 80% in subsequent months.
The same pattern will appear again in 2022. After another round of red bars, a white bar appeared in September 2022, and XRP rose by about 75% that month, followed by a larger increase. Steph pointed out that the white bar currently appearing in July is completely consistent with this historical pattern.
Trend Band Confirmation Signal
Steph also mentioned the trend bands on the XRP monthly chart. He explained that a flip from green to red usually signals a bearish period, but the flip itself has historically often marked a bottom rather than the beginning of a downtrend. This reversal occurred in 2019, just before XRP rose more than 80%; it occurred again in August 2022, followed by another wave of 80% gains.
Steph said the trend band has now confirmed the same green and red signal. Combined with the MACD signal, he believes that the data is more inclined to increase XRP in July.
Steph\'s Position
Steph admitted that not everyone agreed with him. Many people view the current trend as a \"bull trap\" and expect prices to fall further. He responded: \"Now is the time to persevere.\" He said he was holding positions and relied on historical data.
He described the current signal as meaningful and noted that the pattern has been repeated in three separate market cycles. According to Steph\'s analysis, the data tells a \"very different and bullish story\" compared to the general sentiment of skeptics.
What this means for XRP
If Steph\'s historical comparisons hold, XRP could fluctuate significantly in the coming weeks. His analysis is based on two indicators pointing in the same direction at the same time: the monthly MACD histogram and the trend band inversion. These two indicators signaled simultaneously in 2019 and 2022, followed by increases of 75% to 130% respectively.
XRP is currently trading at US$1.09. If this pattern repeats itself, the price may rise to US$1.90 or even US$2.50. For XRP holders looking for a bottom signal, this synchronization phenomenon is one of the clearest technical forms Steph highlights.
