Bitcoin Price Prediction: Where BTC Will Go After This Week\'s Turbulence

Bitcoin Price Forecast: Key Points

Bitcoin trading prices are close to US$64112, remaining above the bottom line of production costs of approximately US$62000.

Binance\'s realized price is approximately US$60900, which puts most exchange holders in a profitable position.

Despite this week\'s loss sale, Strategy\'s average cost base is still $75476 and is at a loss.

In the second quarter of 2026, listed companies bought 110,000 bitcoins, pushing corporate holdings to exceed 6% of total supply.

Prices need to break through the resistance range of US$64500 to 65500 to continue the current breakthrough trend.

After a difficult period in which more than 53000 traders were cleared in a single day, Bitcoin is currently trading at approximately $64112.

Today\'s Bitcoin price: Despite volatile trading volume, Bitcoin remained at around US$64000

Bitcoin reported US$64,112.3, up slightly by 0.03% during the day. Data showed that 24-hour futures trading volume reached US$39.38 billion, and open positions remained around US$47.18 billion.

Spot trading volume was relatively light at US$3.26 billion. Option holdings fell 5.05% to $28.27 billion, indicating that some traders have temporarily reduced large bets.

Today\'s Bitcoin News: 53000 traders cleared in a US$133 million market shock

CoinGlass data shows that a total of 53157 traders have been cleared in the past 24 hours, bringing the total clearing amount to US$133.26 million.

The largest single clearing order occurred in Binance, a BTC/USDT position worth US$3.21 million.

Despite the market\'s sharp decline, the exchange still recorded a net inflow of US$90.44 million the previous day, indicating that some traders are still planning for subsequent fluctuations.

The long-short ratio of currency placement shows that long positions are slightly dominant, with an account ratio of 1.2696.

Top traders in Binhang are more bullish, with a long-short ratio of 1.3409 based on position size, which is a noteworthy detail in any Bitcoin news forecast update.

Bitcoin price forecast: Bitcoin remains above the bottom line of production costs of US$62000

Yes. Historical data shows that since 2020, Bitcoin has rarely fallen below its production costs. The cost is currently approximately $62000.

Looking back at past cycles, every time prices fall below this level, it marks a buying opportunity. Bitcoin\'s current price is close to $64112, keeping its price outlook just above this bottom line.

Bitcoin News: Binance still dominates exchange bitcoin supply with 29.75%.

Binance remains the largest centralized exchange, holding 29.75% of all exchanges bitcoin supply. Bitfinex came second with 16.75%, with Gemini holding 8.66%.

Exchange Bitcoin supply as a proportion:

Coin Security: 29.75%

Bitfinex：16.75%

Gemini：8.66%

Kraken：8.46%

OKX：6.25%

Upbit：5.88%

Robinhood：4.19%

bitFlyer： The realized price of 3.18%

Binance\'s reserves is approximately US$60900. This means that, unlike some large corporate buyers, the average Bitcoin holder in Binandian is not currently losing money.

Strategy is still losing money in Bitcoin at an average cost base of US$75476

Strategy\'s average cost base is US$75476, which is much higher than the current market price.

This week, the company sold 3588 bitcoins at a loss to pay dividends, not as a result of a shift in bearish view.

Even after the sale, Strategy still held 843775 bitcoins, which still exceeds the 656561 bitcoins held by Binhang.

This gap reveals a simple truth: While price matters, the cost basis is more critical when judging who is actually losing money on the books.

Bitcoin price forecast in 2026: In the second quarter, corporate buying spree increased its holdings by 110,000 bitcoins

In the second quarter of 2026 alone, listed companies increased their holdings by 110,000 bitcoins. This is approximately 1.8 times the total holdings in the previous two quarters.

Net increase in holdings in each quarter:

Fourth quarter 2024:234000 units

First quarter 2025:107000 units

Second quarter 2025:140000

Third quarter 2025:190000

Fourth quarter 2025:57000

First quarter 2026:65000

Second quarter 2026:110000

Corporate Finance currently holds a total of more than 1.26 million bitcoins, accounting for more than 6% of the total bitcoin supply.

This bitcoin price forecast must take into account this stable institutional demand, as the number of coins in circulation that retail traders can trade is decreasing.

Bitcoin price forecast: Bulls focus on breaking through the head-and-shoulder pattern

According to recent price trends, Bitcoin has broken through the daily downward trend for the first time in two months.

For this trend to continue, prices need to break through the resistance range of $64500 to $65500 and stay above it.

Chart analysts also pointed out that a bullish head-and-shoulder pattern is forming on the daily chart.

If this pattern is confirmed, it usually signals more room for upside, despite the market\'s uncertainty.

Some traders following an eight-month distribution and pickup cycle expect prices to next test a fair value gap of $69000. According to this view, if the cycle repeats, the price may subsequently fall below $50000.

Other traders are focusing on the summer rally from July to August. Both possibilities exist until the price confirms the direction.

Disclaimer :

This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment or trading advice. The cryptocurrency market is extremely volatile and carries significant risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Be sure to research and consult a licensed financial adviser before making an investment decision.