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Experts say 90% of XRP holders may sell at $10, and only 0.1% may wait for the price to reach $10,00

2026-10-09 18:16:23
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XRP评论员:尽管理论上可达1万美元,但绝大多数持有者难以坚持到底

XRP评论员Jake Community XRP指出,虽然从理论上看XRP有可能达到10,000美元的价格,但只有极少数当前持有者能够坚持到那一时刻。他最近的分析探讨了随着价格上升,不同投资者群体可能会如何抛售手中的XRP,重点关注市场供需动态的变化。

大多数XRP持有者可能在较低目标价位离场

在最近的一条社交媒体帖子中,Jake Community XRP表示,绝大多数投资者不会等待高价出现才进行卖出操作。他指出,90%的XRP持有者可能在价格为10美元时卖出全部持仓,另有9%的人会在价格达到100美元时卖出。如果XRP涨至1,000美元,可能还有0.9%的持有者选择退出市场。根据这一情景推算,仅有0.1%的持有者有可能坚守到XRP触及10,000美元的关口。

Jake Community XRP认为,很少有投资者具备足够的耐心或信念,去持有XRP直至其实现社区内偶尔讨论的极高价格水平。该评论员还暗示,所谓的“精英阶层”可能会阻碍普通投资者轻易成为百万富翁的道路。这些估算反映了XRP社区中长期存在的争论:在价格大幅上涨期间,究竟有多少持有者能够抵御多轮抛压。

供应分析凸显市场集中度

The supporting video reviews XRP's circulation supply and exchange balance. The speaker pointed out that the maximum total supply of XRP is 100 billion tokens, and the current circulation volume is 62 billion tokens. Of these, only about 1.6 billion XRPs are available for immediate trading on cryptocurrency exchanges, as most of the assets have been transferred to cold wallets, institutional custody accounts or deposited in ETFs.

Terminology: Cold storage refers to keeping cryptocurrency assets offline and away from connected systems to prevent hacking or unauthorized access.

In recent months, exchanges have seen significant outflows of funds, with 7 billion XRPs reportedly withdrawn in February. These outflows are mainly attributed to giant whales and institutional investors, who accounted for about 91% of total liquidity. Speakers emphasized that with the limited number of XRPs available for instant purchase, increased demand-especially from large institutional buyers-will have a significant impact on the asset's price trajectory.

XRP Indicator Value Maximum Supply 100 billion pieces Circulation Supply 62 billion pieces Exchange availability 1.6 billion pieces Exchange Outflows (February) 7 billion pieces Proportion of institutional/giant whale outflow 91%

Focus on institutional accumulation and future needs

The analysis also pointed out that after months of decline, the number of addresses holding at least 1 million XRPs has increased. The video highlights the role of institutional investors in this and mentions U.S. -listed XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which are said to hold $1.1 billion worth of related assets. Speakers said the role of institutional investors may shift from pure investment to using XRP for cross-border payments and settlements.

The infrastructure construction of XRP Ledger is also one of the key concerns. Financial institutions have reportedly begun building the necessary tools for global transactions, which could further boost demand for XRP.

Terminology: XRP ledger is a decentralized blockchain network designed to provide fast, low-cost international payment services, supporting XRP and custom tokens.

Custody releases and potential supply shortages

The video also mentions the regular release of Ripple's custody accounts, which is estimated to release 200 million to 300 million XRPs per month. Despite this, the supply available for trading continues to decline as institutions acquire and move XRP off exchanges. Analysts believe that if institutional demand intensifies, it may eventually exceed the supply available for purchase, creating greater scarcity in the XRP market.

As institutional interest increases and exchange balances decrease, only a very small number of investors may be in a beneficial position if XRP reaches extreme price levels. Jake Community XRP's post concluded that while the $10,000 XRP remains a theoretical outcome, most current holders expect to sell well in advance of this price due to psychological and financial factors.

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