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ETH The price of Ethereum fell, but then rebounded as trading activity increased and the trading range narrowed. Key levels near this point are becoming focal points of attention.
Market conditions: The stock market declined, with the S&P 500 index falling by 0.99% to 6822.34 points; the NASDAQ Composite Index dropped by 1.57% to 23581.14 points. The VIX index rose to 17.22, an increase of 1.77% over the day.
After Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated at the Federal Open Market Committee meeting on October 29 that there was no certainty regarding interest rate cuts in December, macroeconomic sentiment remained cautious.
The DXY index rose from 98.57 on October 28 to 99.52 on October 30. Although U.S. President Donald Trump expressed optimism about his meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping, no agreement was reached in the U.S.-China trade negotiations.
After the two-week network coordination meeting on October 30, Ethereum core developers decided to upgrade Fusaka on December 3.
Key technical analysis points:
The following content is based on the technical analysis data model developed by CoinDesk Research.
● Trend and market conditions: Ethereum declined from the $3921 range, consistent with the overall decline in the cryptocurrency market. Institutional funds turned negative at resistance levels.
● Path and range: This trading day saw a downward trend, with the price dropping from $3,921.43 to $3,731.00. The range was 230.31 dollars, or approximately 5.9%.
● Breakdown points: 决定性的下跌发生在3,880美元跌破关口，同时触及443,415的峰值，比24小时平均水平高出约103%。
● 尾声反弹：以太坊价格从3,731美元上涨1.35%至3,771.82美元，并重新突破3,760美元，此前该价位曾限制了其上涨。
● 参与度：会话量比七天平均水平高出32%。
这些模式表明了什么
● 先是下跌，然后是测试：损失3,880美元证实了卖方在该价位附近很活跃;收回3,760美元是买方反击的第一个迹象。
● 区间震荡走势：由于上方高点降低，而低点高于3,731美元，该模型显示短期内将在3,730美元至3,880美元之间进行区间震荡交易。
● 反弹基调：复苏伴随着适度的资金流入，这看起来像是谨慎的买盘，而不是空头挤压。
支撑位和阻力位图
● 主要阻力位：3,840美元至3,880美元(突破后区间)。
● 次要阻力：3,760美元，现已收回，附近有一个检查站。
● 关键支撑位：3,731美元(当日最低点)。
● 主要支持汇合点：3,700美元至3,720美元。
体积图
● 总体而言：比七日平均值高出32%。
● 峰值：443,415，单价为3,880美元(比24小时正常水平高出约103%)。
● 反弹：适度的流量表明需求受到控制，而不是普遍的投降或挤压。
目标和风险框架
● 如果买家施压：突破3,840美元，则有望冲击3,880美元，然后是3,920美元。
● 如果卖方重新掌控局面：在3,760美元处失败，将有3,700美元面临风险，下一个风险区域为3,650美元。
● 策略要点：由于参与度较高，且3730美元至3880美元的区间已明确界定，许多交易者都在等待明显的突破或果断的反弹，然后再加大对哪一方的投入。
