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Bitcoin (BTC) support band rises, prices face critical backtests

2026-10-08 00:26:05

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Bitcoin (BTC) fell below the key level of US$85,000, weakening momentum

Bitcoin (BTC) fell about 2% in the past 24 hours to US$84,035, falling below the key US$85,000 level, and market momentum weakened. Although the bull market relay support band moves up with prices, a retest of this position could be a critical moment to test the broader upward trend.

Bitcoin, the largest and dominant asset, is entering a critical stage after falling below the $85,000 mark and experiencing a decline of about 2%. Currently, the trading price of the token is approximately US$84,035, and the daily trading volume is stable at US$32.867 billion. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin's trading range has ranged from $83,647 to $86,648, showing a large intra-day range of fluctuations. And over the past seven days, BTC prices have fluctuated between US$83,022 and US$87,085, the market is in a broader consolidation area and traders are paying close attention to key prices.

The decline was accompanied by a large number of long positions being liquidated, with approximately US$500 million in long positions being closed. However, some funds appear to have returned to the market, keeping leverage at a high level. Bitcoin's recent price movements have unfolded within a narrow triangular pattern, with the latest market rebound from the downward trend line. If this structure can be maintained, it is still possible to break through to a higher level.

另一个因素是比特币的牛市支撑带。在牛市周期中，随着该支撑带随价格上涨，比特币历史上往往会出现回测现象。此类回测可能会引发看跌情绪，但如果更广泛的上涨趋势保持完好，它们也可能成为买方的重要介入区域。

对于多方而言，重新夺回8.5万美元将有助于恢复短期动能。如果比特币未能收复该水平且抛压持续存在，近期区间的下沿可能再次成为关注焦点。

比特币的关键支撑与阻力位

如果空头力量加剧，BTC价格可能跌至最近的支撑区间83,900美元。假设卖方继续主导市场，额外的下行压力可能会触发“死亡交叉”的形成，并逐渐将价格打压至83,821美元以下。

另一方面，如果比特币的市场趋势转向看涨，价格可能上升至84,100美元的阻力位。随着上行轨迹获得更多动力，潜在的多头可能会推动“黄金交叉”的形成，价格可能逐渐攀升至84,269美元以上。

比特币动能减弱：是否会有更多损失？

四小时技术图表显示，平滑异同移动平均线（MACD）指标位于零轴下方。同时，信号线仍处于零轴上方，表明比特币市场呈现混合动能。虽然整体趋势仍具一定积极力量，但短期动能正在减弱。交易者可能需要观察价格是否回升至信号线上方以确认复苏迹象，或者在抛压加剧时进一步跌至零轴下方。

(Source:TradingView)

此外，每日相对强弱指数（RSI）读数停留在35.32，显示比特币面临较弱的买入动能。而且，它正逐渐接近市场的超卖区域。值得注意的是，该资产在技术上尚未进入超卖状态，因为通常认为低于30才算超卖，但该数值表明当前卖方占据优势。

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