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加密货币市场本周以跌势开局!

2026-09-28 16:41:16
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地缘政治风险重燃,加密市场承压

在新的一周开盘交易中,由于地缘政治风险再次引发关注,加密货币市场遭遇了抛售压力。总市值下跌1.56%,降至2.85万亿美元。以比特币(Bitcoin)和以太坊(Ethereum)为首的主要数字资产出现下滑。

截至土耳其时间09:30,比特币下跌1.62%,回落至83,098美元;以太坊价格下跌2.04%,跌至2,648美元;XRP下跌2.59%,报1.48美元;Solana则下跌1.85%,至118.89美元。

在山寨币方面,Quant(QNT)成为过去24小时内的亮点,涨幅高达50.35%,录得最大收益;而Stacks下跌9.72%,成为当日跌幅最大的资产。



地缘政治风险如何影响加密市场?

导致市场抛售的主要因素之一是美国与伊朗之间的紧张局势带来的不确定性。美国总统唐纳德·特朗普表示,美伊战争可能很快结束,但他并未完全排除在11月中期选举前发动新的军事打击的可能性。

特朗普的言论加剧了比特币在上半周交易中的下行压力,同时纳斯达克期货指数也同步下跌。面对地缘政治局势的变化,投资者对高风险资产的偏好减弱,市场整体呈现谨慎观望态势。

The Iranian government advocates resolving the conflict through diplomatic means. Although Tehran made a proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and stop the conflict, Trump rejected the proposal.



Why does rising oil prices suppress crypto assets?

Uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz not only drives up geopolitical risks, but also affects energy markets. Rising oil prices have raised concerns that global inflation may accelerate again.

Rising energy costs directly affect the central bank's expectations for interest rate policy. Higher interest rate expectations may weaken demand for risky assets, so crypto investors need to pay close attention to macroeconomic developments.

Therefore, oil prices, government bond yields and central bank monetary policy signals have become important indicators for the short-term pricing of Bitcoin and other digital assets.



What is the flow of funds in Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs?

Despite the recent short-term market correction, the spot ETF sector recorded strong inflows last week. The net inflow of Bitcoin Spot ETF was US$2.39 billion, and the net inflow of Ethereum Spot ETF was US$689.88 million.

Altcoin ETFs performed positively overall: net inflow of XRP ETF was US$75.59 million, net inflow of SOL ETF was US$188.22 million, and net inflow of ZEC ETF was US$35.17 million.

In addition, the net inflow of HYPE ETF was US$9.25 million, the net inflow of DOGE ETF was US$2.89 million, the net inflow of LINK ETF was US$6.27 million, the net inflow of LTC ETF was US$2.77 million, the net inflow of AVAX ETF was US$1.72 million, and the net inflow of HBAR ETF was US$2.44 million.

The TRX ETF recorded a net inflow of $491.06 million, while the BNB, TRX and DOT ETFs recorded no flows.



Which U.S. economic indicators should we focus on this week?

In the new week, investors 'focus turns to the upcoming release of U.S. economic data. Including job openings, ADP employment reports, personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index and non-agricultural employment data are all within the scope of market attention.

These data will shape market expectations for the strength of the U.S. economy and may affect pricing of future monetary policy and global risk appetite.

Therefore, when evaluating the current selling market, we should not only limit ourselves to intraday price fluctuations, but also need to conduct a comprehensive analysis based on geopolitical developments, ETF fund flows and U.S. macroeconomic data.

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