SOL 重新收复长期支撑区,图表指向可能向 233.8 美元反弹
SOL 已重新收复长期支撑区域,使市场焦点集中在可能向 233.8 美元回升的走势上。币安(Binance)主导了 SOL 的衍生品交易活动,其未平仓合约价值接近 9.79 亿美元,报告交易量达 8.46 亿美元。若能确认突破 233.8 美元的关键阻力位,上方目标将指向 456 美元;而当前的盘整局面则意味着突破情景尚未得到确认。Solana 的市场展望仍围绕被收复的支撑位、庞大的衍生品活跃度以及指向更高阻力位的长期结构展开。
收复的支撑位确立了当前市场结构
长期图表显示,SOL 在主要水平支撑区附近反复出现反应。该价位在过去几个市场周期中影响了多次反转。在最近的一次广泛回调后,价格行为再次回归至同一区域。JAVONMARKS 指出,在收复这一关键支撑位后,SOL 继续维持持有态势。图表显示,价格在标注区域附近进行盘整,而非 decisively 跌破该区域。这使得在较长周期内,复苏结构依然清晰可见。
来源:X
Previous cycles have shown strong upmoves after a long period of consolidation around this level. The bull market in 2021 is the earliest major example in the chart. Subsequent recoveries in 2023 and 2024 follow a similar base pattern of support levels. As a result, the latest structure is more like an established foundation than a confirmed breakthrough. Prices need to continue to maintain solid support until the expected upward path is confirmed. If there is a sustained break in position, it will challenge the broader technical layout.
Current trading shows tight price consolidation
Market data as of writing showed that the SOL price was US$101.72, after a trading session full of multiple reversals. The price initially fell, and then buyers pushed it higher into the $102 area. The seller subsequently rejected the rally and pulled the price back into the middle range. The high for the period was around $102.25, before momentum weakened. Prices subsequently fell back and briefly touched the $101.25 area. The buyer then regained ground, pushing the market above $101.60.
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The current structure shows repeated resistance around $102.00. At the same time, the $101.50 area continued to provide nearby support during the pullback. After early fluctuations, prices remained compressed between these levels. Broader market data also shows significant derivatives participation. Binance holds approximately US$979.15 million in SOL open interests. Bybit and OKX followed closely, with approximately $730.36 million and $662.79 million respectively.
Derivatives activity is in line with long-term target expectations
Binance also leads with reported SOL trading volume of approximately US$846.2 million. OKX recorded approximately $539.55 million, followed by Gate's $273.42 million. CME contributed approximately US$225.61 million, maintaining a significant market position. 
Source: Coinglass
The number of futures transactions provides another measure of cross-exchange activity. Binance recorded approximately 1 million transactions, while Bybit reached approximately 485.83 million transactions. Other platforms show a decreasing number of transactions in the rankings displayed. The article pointed out that $233.8 is the next major technical goal. The chart predicts an increase of more than 120% from the marked starting area. If this resistance level can continue to be exceeded, US$456 will become the focus of attention. However, the current price action does not confirm any forecast target. SOL remained near its recovered support, while derivatives participation remained high. Therefore, the trading setting depends on holding support, restoring new momentum and ultimately clearing resistance.

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