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Analysts say XRP is doing everything possible to avoid making directional choices

2026-10-08 03:38:30
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XRP is ready to go: Analysts elaborate on two potential trends

XRP has been consolidating for months ahead of key decision points. The price is currently at $1.5090, consolidated below $1.65, which has constituted macro resistance since the rebound from lows around $0.93. Crypto analyst CasiTrades (@CasiTrades) released a detailed technical analysis outlining the next two different scenarios.

Spatial Compression Structure Pattern

The 4-hour chart shows that XRP has formed a smaller secondary consolidation pattern just below the US$1.65 resistance level. The form is approaching its peak. CasiTrades pointed out that this compression occurred about two weeks after the last test of this level.

The $1.65 region corresponds to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at the macro level, which is also the key level she has tracked for a long time to confirm the direction of the trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the chart shows a contracting triangular pattern, reflecting the same compression seen in prices.

The momentum has weakened since the surge in September. The current RSI readings on the double lines are 52.89 and 52.45 respectively, which are in the neutral range and do not provide a clear directional signal individually.

Two forward paths

CasiTrades points out that there may be a final push towards about $1.70 to complete the current wave structure. This will bring XRP back to its August high. If prices reach that level, she plans to watch for "another level of bearish divergence" in the RSI to confirm that a larger top forms before starting a second wave of correction.

图表将1.7052美元标记为0.618扩展目标位,将该区域内的1.6568美元标记为0.5水平位。她也提出了另一种替代情景:XRP“有未能完成最终第5浪并直接陷入调整的习惯”。因此,并不一定需要创出新高即可完成结构。

鉴于1.65美元阻力位已被测试过,CasiTrades表示,无论哪种路径展开,她的计划都不会改变。

第2浪支撑位

如果调整开始,CasiTrades正在关注1.27美元(0.618回撤位)和1.10美元(0.854回撤位)作为关键支撑位。她将第2浪描述为可能具有“侵略性和快速”的特征。若跌至约0.90美元,则将完全重置波浪计数。守住任一支撑位都能保持更大规模的看涨结构完整。

突破案例

CasiTrades还勾勒了确认突破后的景象。持续推向1.80美元,随后重新将1.65美元确立为支撑位,将表明显著的市场强度。她基于正在发展的趋势结构,设定了长期的两位数目标价,分别为10美元、13美元和16美元,并鼓励投资者随着子波浪的发展密切观察当前价格水平。

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