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Will XRP rise to $25? Experts reveal mathematical logic they have never shown you

2026-09-12 15:44:14
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US$25 XRP Target Price: Major Shift in Market Landscape

If the XRP price reaches US$25, it will represent a major shift in the cryptocurrency market. Good Evening Crypto attempts to explain the market value mathematical logic behind this possibility.

In a recent X (formerly Twitter) post, the cryptocurrency commentator urged fans to watch the caption "$25 XRP: This is a calculation they have never shown you!" video. The video focuses on whether XRP can eventually surpass Bitcoin in market value.

Good Evening Crypto first discussed remarks by former Ripple CTO David Schwartz, who expressed his personal belief that XRP may eventually surpass Bitcoin. Schwartz clarified that this expressed his personal opinion and not financial advice. When asked if this was due to a rise in XRP or a fall in Bitcoin, Schwartz said several scenarios could arise, but he insisted that XRP growing faster than Bitcoin was the more likely path.



Schwartz's views on XRP and Bitcoin

Based on the video content, Schwartz believes that XRP may overtake Bitcoin in a market where overall digital assets have grown significantly. He suggested that XRP could capture more growth shares due to XRP Ledger's functionality, speed and features not supported by Bitcoin.

Good Evening Crypto uses this view to support its long-standing argument. The commentator said that based on market conditions discussed in the video, a $25 XRP price would make XRP's market value exceed Bitcoin's current market value.

The video also distinguishes between the main use cases related to these two assets. Good Evening Crypto describes Bitcoin mainly through a narrative of "store of value" while presenting XRP as an asset focused on payments, settlements, and on-demand liquidity.



The mathematical logic behind the $25 target price

Good Evening Crypto then turned to several large financial markets to explain how XRP could theoretically achieve higher valuations. The video quotes data that global remittances are approximately US$2.1 trillion per year and points out that capturing 10% of this will represent approximately US$210 billion in value.

The video also discusses retail and small business payment channels, which commentators estimate to be around US$44 trillion per year. Capturing 1% of this market would represent approximately $440 billion.

The video takes a closer look at institutional and large-scale financial activities, which Good Evening Crypto estimates are nearly US$200 trillion per year. According to commentators, even limited participation in these markets could significantly affect XRP's valuation.




Clarity Act and Agency Adoption

discussions also link the XRP argument to developments in the U.S. regulatory environment. Good Evening Crypto discussed the Clarity Act and Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong's expectation that the legislation could garner sufficient support in the Senate.

Commentators also pointed to factors such as exchange-traded funds (ETFs), corporate treasury strategies, RLUSD collateral, and potential institutional demand that could affect the availability and market value of XRP. However, these are just part of Good Evening Crypto's broader arguments, rather than a promise that XRP will reach $25.

After all, the video presents $25 as a price that would require a significant increase in XRP's market value to achieve. Good Evening Crypto believes that if adoption in payments, tokenization, institutional finance and other use cases expands significantly, XRP may eventually grow faster than Bitcoin.


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