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白银价格预测：分析师描绘从50美元到1100美元的狂野路径

2026-10-05 00:45:06

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Silver price forecast: Analysts depict a wild path from $50 to $1,100

Silver prices are currently trading around $60, but one analyst (known as "THE FUDA" on X platforms) believes that the current trend could eventually lead to a bigger market. His long-term chart paints a scenario in which silver will first complete its current correction around $50, possibly drop to $46, and then embark on a multi-year upward trend.

Since then, predictions have become extremely aggressive. The analyst predicts that silver may rebound to $600, then pull back to about $220, and finally start its last major rally around 2031, with a target of $1,100 per ounce.

Silver charts start at the bottom of $46 -50

The initial part of this setting is more pragmatic than the final goal. Silver once traded above $60, and analysts expect the current correction to continue to extend into the main support area around $50. His chart allows prices to drill further down to $46, but he sees that area as a potential endpoint for the current correction phase. From the perspective of Elliot Wave theory, analysts appear to mark the current decline as the fourth wave correction after the strong rally that began in 2024.

Source: X/@theFudaa

If this interpretation is correct, then the next major trend will be the fifth upward wave.

The $600 target is already extremely aggressive

下一个预期的波段将白银从50美元左右推向约600美元。这意味着从假设的底部算起，涨幅超过1,000%。图表随后显示了另一轮大幅回调，可能将白银带回到220美元区域。只有在经历这一过程后，分析师才预测了向1,100美元的最终冲刺。因此，这并非一条直线的预测。该结构假设在未来五年内出现数次巨大的上涨和同样剧烈的回调。

白银价格真的能达到1,100美元吗？这是该预测在当前基本面下很难得到合理辩护的地方。白银达到100美元将代表重大的历史重定价。而在600美元或1,100美元的水平，市场需要经历远超正常贵金属牛市周期的条件。这可能包括严重的货币贬值、持续的通货膨胀、供应短缺、非凡的投资需求，或者白银估值方式的重大结构性变化。

来自太阳能、电子、数据中心和电气化的工业需求可以支持长期的看涨论点，但从60美元涨至1,100美元需要的不仅仅是正常的需求增长。分析师的1,100美元目标显然是吸引眼球的部分，但46-50美元的区域在短期内更为相关。如果白银价格跌至该区域且买方予以捍卫，其图表中的整体看涨结构将保持完整。如果价格有效跌破该区域，波浪计数的辩护将变得更加困难。目前，该图表是一个有趣的长期情景，而非现实的基础案例预测。理论上达到600美元或1,100美元是可能的，但这需要一个与投资者今日所熟悉的完全不同的白银市场。

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