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XRP XRP Ten-Year Chart Analysis: Big Wave III is underway
Cryptocurrency analyst Dark Defender (@DefendDark) released a technical analysis report stating that XRP's Grand Wave III is currently in progress. The chart started in 2013 and shows that prices may move into triple digits in the next few years.
Blue Support Channel and Its History
Two parallel blue trend lines run throughout the chart, defining a long-term rising channel. Dark Defender's analysis highlights a consistent pattern: Whenever XRP prices touch the blue support line below, there is a sharp rise that follows. The chart shows that this support level has been touched three times in history, with each hit being accompanied by significant price expansion. According to Dark Defender, this pattern appeared before Big Wave III, pushing XRP to exceed US$3 in 2017/2018, and triggered another 500% increase at the end of 2024, bringing the price back to US$3. He concluded: "Whenever blue support is touched, we see unprecedented surges. XRP's Big Wave III is underway, period. (This is not financial advice, it only represents a personal opinion.)"
The next breakthrough is coming?
The chart shows that XRP is once again approaching the trend line, suggesting a possible repeat of the breakout trend of 2017, with targets pointing to double-and three-digit prices. Prior to the current rally, XRP completed an adjustment structure labeled A, B, and C. (A) waves form lows around 2019-2020,(B) waves push prices higher in 2021, and (C) waves push prices down, completing the adjustment in 2022-2023. This adjustment sequence ended on the lower track of the blue support channel, and XRP then rose again from this area, with the 2024/2025 rally reaching an all-time high of $3.65 in July 2025.
Fibonacci targets define upside space
At the time of analysis, XRP was trading at $1.34. The chart contains a series of Fibonacci expansion levels used to predict the potential size of Big Wave III. In ascending order, the 161.8% level is at $1.8815; the 361.8% expansion target is at $18.2275; the 423.6% level points to $36.7676; the 141.40% level is marked at $74.3956; the highest forecast target reaches $333.1167 at 161.8%. The analyst had previously set this target for XRP and said it would not sell tokens until that level was reached.
Dark Defender's view is that XRP is at the beginning of the most important round in the long-term chart. The green arc-shaped arrows on the chart depict the expected trajectory as of 2028, with prices moving upwards through each of the target levels mentioned above.
