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XRP XRP面临1.59美元阻力，Ripple将价值10亿美元代币返还托管账户
Ripple近期按照十月的既定计划，向托管账户归还了7亿枚XRP代币，其市值超过10亿美元。这一举动重新引发了市场对于XRP可用供应量及其短期价格走势的关注。
XRP价格徘徊在关键阻力位附近
十月初，XRP的交易价格约为1.49美元，多次测试1.55美元区间但难以站稳。技术分析师指出，1.54至1.59美元区域存在显著的卖压。像Xaif Crypto这样的分析师在该区间识别出阻力位，并将支撑位设定在1.44至1.47美元之间。
据Xaif Crypto分析，若XRP能果断突破1.54至1.56美元区间，可能预示短期复苏势头增强；而跌破支撑位则可能引发更深的下跌。另一方面，若能持续突破阻力区，可能会吸引更多买盘兴趣。短期内XRP的前景取决于其如何应对1.59美元这一屏障，多位分析师认为这将是定义下一阶段动能变化的关键。
TheaG_eii的另一份图表回顾也将1.59美元视为潜在动能变化的触发点，并将1.54至1.59美元区域定义为供应区。该分析还指出，如果XRP在阻力位遭遇拒绝，1.39美元和1.29美元将成为值得关注的区域。
In recent weeks, XRP prices peaked at $1.65 on September 23 and $1.62 on September 25, before falling back to around $1.50, demonstrating the difficulty of maintaining gains above resistance. A daily or weekly closing above $1.59 would be a clear technical signal, but the market is still limited by established upper resistance and a support band of $1.44 to $1.47.
Ripple returns 700 million XRPs to escrow accounts
The financial technology company known for its global payment network conducted its routine monthly XRP escrow transactions in early October. The company initially unlocked a total of 1 billion XRPs in four tranches: 400 million, 200 million, 300 million and 100 million tokens respectively. Shortly thereafter, Ripple returned 700 million of them (worth approximately US$1.05 billion) to the new escrow contract based on market prices, and executed two large transfers, 400 million and 300 million tokens respectively.
The move is part of Ripple's long-term hosting system launched in 2017, which can unlock up to 1 billion XRPs at the beginning of each month. Historically, companies have returned most of these tokens to escrow accounts to smooth out the impact on circulating supply.
According to TheStreet, approximately 31.845 billion XRPs are still in custody after the October event is completed. Of the 1 billion coins released, 300 million were not left in the escrow contract. As a result, the latest monthly release did not directly inject the entire $1 billion into the market.
Ripple's predictable monthly trading is closely watched by traders, who generally believe that the net change in the circulation supply is more important than the total number of tokens unlocked each month.
Small Dictionary: Ripple is a US-based technology company known for its XRP ledgers and software solutions designed to simplify cross-border payments for financial institutions.
The much-watched XRP price scenario
With XRP trading around $1.49, the market is closely watching whether buyers can push tokens past the $1.59 technical barrier, as previous attempts around $1.55 have failed. Xaif Crypto suggested that if resistance breaks, prices may move towards $1.75, while CarolinaTCWNL listed a series of target prices after the market encountered resistance near $1.70:$1.43,$1.50,$1.58, 1.62 and $1.75.
Analysts believe that if XRP closes above $1.59 at daily or weekly levels, it will mark a major shift, confirming that early resistance has turned into support and opening the door for further gains.
However, until such a breakthrough is confirmed, the $1.44 to $1.47 range will remain a key support area. A break below this range could lead to a shift towards lower support levels identified by technical analysts.
Ripple's custody transaction reduced the immediate impact of the October token release on the circulation supply, although 300 million tokens are still not in custody, which may affect short-term liquidity. Therefore, market participants are mainly focused on the shape of the price chart and whether the $1.59 level serves as a ceiling or gives way to a new round of buying momentum.
