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BTC 比特币突破关键阻力位，重拾看涨动能
比特币（BTC）在收复一项关键的长期市场指标后，展现出 renewed 的看涨势头。在突破主要卖方墙后，比特币价格稳稳站稳于 85,000 美元上方。
值得注意的是，该加密资产在 10 月 2 日攀升至 87,096 美元，创下自 9 月 23 日以来的最高水平，随后略有回落。这一涨幅标志着从 9 月 15 日低点 75,170 美元反弹了 15.6%，并将比特币推升至此前限制其大部分时间涨幅的阻力区之上。目前，分析师们正在观察最新的涨势能否持续。
链上数据发出重要信号
周六，CryptoQuant 在推特上强调了比特币链上数据中最重要的发展之一：其 MVRV Z 分数已突破 365 天平均水平。这家分析平台表示，历史上，收复这一移动平均线代表了比特币市场动能的重要转变。“比特币的 MVRV Z 分数刚刚突破了其 365 天平均水平。历史上，收复这条移动平均线一直是市场动能发生重要转变的标志。现在的关键在于比特币能否保持在该水平之上。”该平台指出。
It should be noted that MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value Ratio) compares the market value of bitcoins to the realized value of coins in the network. A consistently higher than long-term average may indicate that market conditions are improving. CryptoQuant's data also shows that bitcoin holders with a holding period of one to three months are enjoying the largest unrealized profits since May 2025. The group currently has an average unrealized profit margin of 24%, suggesting that recent buyers have benefited significantly from the rally.
Significant improvement in technical structure
At the same time, James Thorne, chief market strategist at Wellington Altus, also believes that Bitcoin's technical structure has seen broader improvements. Thorne said Bitcoin's weekly chart showed a strong pattern after the recent correction stabilized around the rising 200-week moving average.
"Bitcoin's weekly chart is one of the best-shaped settings on the market," Thorne wrote. He pointed out that since the June low, Bitcoin's 30-week and 40-week exponential moving averages have turned upwards, and prices have regained both moving averages. According to the strategist, this represents a medium-term trend from bear to bull, while the long-term uptrend remains intact. Thorne also pointed to improvements in weekly momentum and changes in market fundamentals. He believes that regulated stablecoins, tokenized treasury bonds and on-chain settlements are helping Bitcoin and digital assets escape the shackles of purely speculative markets. "Yes, it's a super cycle," he added.
Key resistance has been overcome, and the next step is clear
In addition, these bullish signals come as Bitcoin also clears an important technical hurdle. Glassnode recently pointed out that there is a large concentration of sell orders in the Binance spot market in the US$85,000 to US$85,500 range. This supply area had hindered Bitcoin's rise for about a week. Buyers finally absorbed these resistance on October 2, allowing BTC to move towards $87,000. After the breakthrough, sell orders above the market decreased and some existing orders were cancelled.
According to QCP analysis, the next major resistance level is near US$87,400, which is also the high in September. On top of that,$90,000 will become an important psychological barrier and options market target. On the downside side, the QCP views US$82,500 as a key support area. As of press time, Bitcoin was trading at $85,990, up 0.86% in the past 24 hours.
